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icon for CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)
Politik·Jangka Menengah

CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)

icon for CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)
Politik·Jangka Menengah

CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)

Polymarket
BARU
Polymarket
BARU

Luz Rivas

$1,039 Vol.

89%

Angélica María Dueñas

$326 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an 89% implied probability in the CA-29 House market because the solidly Democratic district delivered her a clear 51% primary win in June 2026, advancing the incumbent alongside challenger Angélica María Dueñas to the November 3 general election under California's top-two system. Dueñas trails at 7.8% after capturing under 25% in the primary, reflecting limited fundraising and name recognition compared with Rivas's established support and institutional backing. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan composition and historical results. With no intervening scandals, polling shifts, or major endorsements altering the race in recent weeks, trader consensus centers on Rivas's incumbency advantage and path to victory in a low-competition general.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,365
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an 89% implied probability in the CA-29 House market because the solidly Democratic district delivered her a clear 51% primary win in June 2026, advancing the incumbent alongside challenger Angélica María Dueñas to the November 3 general election under California's top-two system. Dueñas trails at 7.8% after capturing under 25% in the primary, reflecting limited fundraising and name recognition compared with Rivas's established support and institutional backing. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan composition and historical results. With no intervening scandals, polling shifts, or major endorsements altering the race in recent weeks, trader consensus centers on Rivas's incumbency advantage and path to victory in a low-competition general.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,365
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Luz Rivas" di 89%, diikuti oleh "Angélica María Dueñas" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 89¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)" adalah "Luz Rivas" di 89%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Angélica María Dueñas" di 8%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CA-29 House Election Winner (Individual)" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.