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icon for Alaska Senate Election Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Alaska Senate Election Winner

icon for Alaska Senate Election Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 64%

Sen. Dan Sullivan 37%

Dustin Darden <1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$467,009 Vol.

Mary Peltola 64%

Sen. Dan Sullivan 37%

Dustin Darden <1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$467,009 Vol.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$243,896 Vol.

64%

icon for Sen. Dan Sullivan

Sen. Dan Sullivan

$137,798 Vol.

37%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$23,336 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

$0 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ann Diener

Ann Diener

$36,064 Vol.

<1%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$24,107 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Leslie

David Leslie

$1,807 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola's 49.5% finish in the August 18 nonpartisan primary, ahead of incumbent Dan S. Sullivan's 41.4%, combined with her consistent fundraising edge, has shaped trader views of her as the stronger general election candidate in Alaska's ranked-choice voting system. Recent polls show a toss-up contest, with averages near even and one late August survey giving Peltola a narrow lead. Sullivan benefits from incumbency and Republican support, including from President Trump, while minor candidates like Dan J. Sullivan and Gerald Heikes on the November ballot add complexity to vote flows. David Leslie's withdrawal finalized the field without shifting the core matchup. The race remains one of the cycle's most competitive Senate contests, with outcomes sensitive to turnout and second-choice preferences.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$467,009
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola's 49.5% finish in the August 18 nonpartisan primary, ahead of incumbent Dan S. Sullivan's 41.4%, combined with her consistent fundraising edge, has shaped trader views of her as the stronger general election candidate in Alaska's ranked-choice voting system. Recent polls show a toss-up contest, with averages near even and one late August survey giving Peltola a narrow lead. Sullivan benefits from incumbency and Republican support, including from President Trump, while minor candidates like Dan J. Sullivan and Gerald Heikes on the November ballot add complexity to vote flows. David Leslie's withdrawal finalized the field without shifting the core matchup. The race remains one of the cycle's most competitive Senate contests, with outcomes sensitive to turnout and second-choice preferences.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$467,009
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Terkait

icon for Apakah Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins akan menang dalam pemilihan gubernur Alaska 2026?

Apakah Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins akan menang dalam pemilihan gubernur Alaska 2026?

61%
Ya
icon for Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

46%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 245,000 and 260,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 245,000 and 260,000?

42%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Alaska Senate Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mary Peltola" di 64%, diikuti oleh "Sen. Dan Sullivan" di 37%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 64¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 64% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Alaska Senate Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $467K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 13, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Alaska Senate Election Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Alaska Senate Election Winner" adalah "Mary Peltola" di 64%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 64% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Sen. Dan Sullivan" di 37%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Alaska Senate Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.