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Politik·Jangka Menengah

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska

Market icon
Politik·Jangka Menengah

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska

Bernadette Wilson 30%

Tom Begich 27%

Treg Taylor 12.4%

Nancy Dahlstrom 11.3%

Polymarket

$826,199 Vol.

Bernadette Wilson 30%

Tom Begich 27%

Treg Taylor 12.4%

Nancy Dahlstrom 11.3%

Polymarket

$826,199 Vol.

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Bernadette Wilson

$146,438 Vol.

30%

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Tom Begich

$103,129 Vol.

27%

Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Treg Taylor

$9,083 Vol.

12%

Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Nancy Dahlstrom

$108,967 Vol.

11%

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$3,875 Vol.

4%

Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

David Bronson

$6,606 Vol.

3%

Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Click Bishop

$5,920 Vol.

2%

Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Matt Claman

$3,694 Vol.

2%

Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Adam Crum

$34,881 Vol.

1%

Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Lisa Murkowski

$12,839 Vol.

<1%

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Mary Peltola

$322,652 Vol.

<1%

Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Edna DeVries

$4,527 Vol.

<1%

Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Shelley Hughes

$7,129 Vol.

<1%

Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Hank Kroll

$1,932 Vol.

<1%

Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Matt Heilala

$26,264 Vol.

<1%

Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

James Parkin

$25,070 Vol.

<1%

Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election? icon

Bruce Walden

$3,193 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, where term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's low approval weighs on his party, trader consensus narrowly favors Bernadette Wilson at 29.5% over Democrat Tom Begich at 26.5% to win via ranked-choice voting after the August 18 top-four primary. A March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading the fragmented field at 19.4% to Wilson's 13.6%, with high undecideds and a crowded Republican roster splitting votes—potentially easing Begich's path to the general alongside GOP contenders like former AG Treg Taylor and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom. The Cook Political Report's April 16 shift to Likely Republican underscores RCV uncertainties and Alaska's independent streak keeping odds tight. Endorsements, dropouts ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, new polls, or fundraising edges could consolidate support and create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$826,199
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, where term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy's low approval weighs on his party, trader consensus narrowly favors Bernadette Wilson at 29.5% over Democrat Tom Begich at 26.5% to win via ranked-choice voting after the August 18 top-four primary. A March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading the fragmented field at 19.4% to Wilson's 13.6%, with high undecideds and a crowded Republican roster splitting votes—potentially easing Begich's path to the general alongside GOP contenders like former AG Treg Taylor and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom. The Cook Political Report's April 16 shift to Likely Republican underscores RCV uncertainties and Alaska's independent streak keeping odds tight. Endorsements, dropouts ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, new polls, or fundraising edges could consolidate support and create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$826,199
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska " adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Bernadette Wilson" di 30%, diikuti oleh "Tom Begich" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 30¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 30% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska " telah menghasilkan $826.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 13, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska ," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska " adalah "Bernadette Wilson" di 30%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 30% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Tom Begich" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska " mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.