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Politik·Pemilu AS

MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Pemilu AS

MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Benjamin Ambrose 88%

Jamie Hill 8.3%

Clyde Welford 1.9%

Polymarket
BARU

Benjamin Ambrose 88%

Jamie Hill 8.3%

Clyde Welford 1.9%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Benjamin Ambrose

Benjamin Ambrose

$2,092 Vol.

88%

icon for Jamie Hill

Jamie Hill

$562 Vol.

8%

icon for Clyde Welford

Clyde Welford

$828 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Benjamin Ambrose leads the MI-02 Democratic primary market due to his stronger campaign infrastructure, including recent streaming TV ads, a dedicated website, and a prominent endorsement from The Detroit News. As a U.S. Marine Corps veteran with nearly 20 years of service and roots in western Michigan's rural areas, Ambrose aligns with voter priorities in the solidly Republican district. His opponents—Jamie Hill, a physician assistant and former educator, and Clyde Welford, a Lake County commissioner and retired teacher—have lower visibility and fewer reported institutional backers ahead of the August 4 primary. The district's Republican tilt and limited Democratic primary competition further concentrate trader consensus on Ambrose as the nominee, with minimal recent developments shifting the positioning in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,481
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 8, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Benjamin Ambrose leads the MI-02 Democratic primary market due to his stronger campaign infrastructure, including recent streaming TV ads, a dedicated website, and a prominent endorsement from The Detroit News. As a U.S. Marine Corps veteran with nearly 20 years of service and roots in western Michigan's rural areas, Ambrose aligns with voter priorities in the solidly Republican district. His opponents—Jamie Hill, a physician assistant and former educator, and Clyde Welford, a Lake County commissioner and retired teacher—have lower visibility and fewer reported institutional backers ahead of the August 4 primary. The district's Republican tilt and limited Democratic primary competition further concentrate trader consensus on Ambrose as the nominee, with minimal recent developments shifting the positioning in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,481
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 8, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Benjamin Ambrose" di 88%, diikuti oleh "Jamie Hill" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 88¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 8, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Benjamin Ambrose" di 88%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jamie Hill" di 8%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.