Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, reinforcing his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns, including large margins in recent statewide contests, underpin trader consensus favoring Markey at 97.4 percent implied probability over Republican John Deaton. Recent polling averages from August show Markey ahead by about 20 points, consistent with the state's structural lean and Deaton's prior unsuccessful Senate bid in 2024. Deaton's unopposed primary and emphasis on independent positioning have not narrowed the gap in forecasts. Late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or abrupt national shifts could still alter trajectories in the remaining weeks before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ed Markey (D)
97%
John Deaton (R)
2%
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ed Markey (D)
$35,054 Vol.
97%
John Deaton (R)
$12,970 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, reinforcing his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns, including large margins in recent statewide contests, underpin trader consensus favoring Markey at 97.4 percent implied probability over Republican John Deaton. Recent polling averages from August show Markey ahead by about 20 points, consistent with the state's structural lean and Deaton's prior unsuccessful Senate bid in 2024. Deaton's unopposed primary and emphasis on independent positioning have not narrowed the gap in forecasts. Late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or abrupt national shifts could still alter trajectories in the remaining weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$48,024Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, reinforcing his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns, including large margins in recent statewide contests, underpin trader consensus favoring Markey at 97.4 percent implied probability over Republican John Deaton. Recent polling averages from August show Markey ahead by about 20 points, consistent with the state's structural lean and Deaton's prior unsuccessful Senate bid in 2024. Deaton's unopposed primary and emphasis on independent positioning have not narrowed the gap in forecasts. Late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or abrupt national shifts could still alter trajectories in the remaining weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$48,024Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, reinforcing his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns, including large margins in recent statewide contests, underpin trader consensus favoring Markey at 97.4 percent implied probability over Republican John Deaton. Recent polling averages from August show Markey ahead by about 20 points, consistent with the state's structural lean and Deaton's prior unsuccessful Senate bid in 2024. Deaton's unopposed primary and emphasis on independent positioning have not narrowed the gap in forecasts. Late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or abrupt national shifts could still alter trajectories in the remaining weeks before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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