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icon for WA-03 Primary First Place

WA-03 Primary First Place

icon for WA-03 Primary First Place

WA-03 Primary First Place

John Braun 81%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 7.0%

Brent Hennrich 2.3%

Lawrence Kellogg 1.6%

Polymarket

$14,961 Vol.

John Braun 81%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 7.0%

Brent Hennrich 2.3%

Lawrence Kellogg 1.6%

Polymarket

$14,961 Vol.

icon for John Braun

John Braun

$10,550 Vol.

81%

icon for Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

$1,495 Vol.

7%

icon for Brent Hennrich

Brent Hennrich

$1,041 Vol.

2%

icon for Lawrence Kellogg

Lawrence Kellogg

$336 Vol.

2%

icon for Antony Barran

Antony Barran

$335 Vol.

1%

icon for Troy Rasband

Troy Rasband

$369 Vol.

1%

icon for Austin Braswell

Austin Braswell

$285 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Saulie-Rohman

John Saulie-Rohman

$258 Vol.

<1%

icon for John P. Roco

John P. Roco

$292 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Volume
$14,961
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.In Washington’s 3rd Congressional District nonpartisan top-two primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested field with multiple candidates clustered near even odds. Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces vote-splitting pressure from fellow Democrats Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell, while Republican contenders including state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, Lawrence Kellogg, and John P. Roco compete for the leading GOP spot alongside independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate filings closed in May, campaign finance reports highlight Perez’s fundraising edge, and limited polling shows general-election head-to-heads remaining competitive without clarifying primary order. Late endorsements, turnout among swing voters, and any final-week advertising shifts could reorder first-place positioning before ballots close.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Volume
$14,961
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"WA-03 Primary First Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "John Braun" di 81%, diikuti oleh "Marie Gluesenkamp Perez" di 7%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 81¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 81% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "WA-03 Primary First Place" telah menghasilkan $15K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 6, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "WA-03 Primary First Place," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "WA-03 Primary First Place" adalah "John Braun" di 81%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 81% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marie Gluesenkamp Perez" di 7%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "WA-03 Primary First Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.