Recent polling aggregates show a Democratic-leaning national environment with a generic ballot lead near D+7, keeping multiple 2026 Senate contests tight and likely to finish within 5 points. Key battlegrounds include Texas, Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, and New Hampshire, where open seats from retirements, candidate matchups such as Collins versus Jackson or Peltola versus Sullivan, and state-level dynamics have produced margins under 3 points in recent surveys. Republicans defend more seats overall but benefit from the vice presidential tiebreaker, while Democrats target flips in states like Maine and North Carolina alongside holds in Michigan. With Election Day on November 3, late shifts in turnout or economic sentiment could narrow or widen several of these races.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$62,628 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
84%
Kansas
73%
Alaska
68%
Michigan
62%
Iowa
62%
Ohio (Special)
57%
Maine
56%
New Hampshire
61%
Nebraska
48%
Georgia
27%
Florida (Special)
25%
Minnesota
21%
North Carolina
13%
New Mexico
12%
Montana
8%
Virginia
4%
Colorado
4%
South Carolina
53%
$62,628 Vol.
Texas
$7,129 Vol.
84%
Kansas
$556 Vol.
73%
Alaska
$2,789 Vol.
68%
Michigan
$2,735 Vol.
62%
Iowa
$5,645 Vol.
62%
Ohio (Special)
$3,936 Vol.
57%
Maine
$1,020 Vol.
56%
New Hampshire
$2,352 Vol.
61%
Nebraska
$3,687 Vol.
48%
Georgia
$1,394 Vol.
27%
Florida (Special)
$2,450 Vol.
25%
Minnesota
$9,715 Vol.
21%
North Carolina
$5,584 Vol.
13%
New Mexico
$6,665 Vol.
12%
Montana
$2,919 Vol.
8%
Virginia
$1,344 Vol.
4%
Colorado
$2,599 Vol.
4%
South Carolina
$109 Vol.
53%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling aggregates show a Democratic-leaning national environment with a generic ballot lead near D+7, keeping multiple 2026 Senate contests tight and likely to finish within 5 points. Key battlegrounds include Texas, Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, and New Hampshire, where open seats from retirements, candidate matchups such as Collins versus Jackson or Peltola versus Sullivan, and state-level dynamics have produced margins under 3 points in recent surveys. Republicans defend more seats overall but benefit from the vice presidential tiebreaker, while Democrats target flips in states like Maine and North Carolina alongside holds in Michigan. With Election Day on November 3, late shifts in turnout or economic sentiment could narrow or widen several of these races.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$62,628Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling aggregates show a Democratic-leaning national environment with a generic ballot lead near D+7, keeping multiple 2026 Senate contests tight and likely to finish within 5 points. Key battlegrounds include Texas, Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, and New Hampshire, where open seats from retirements, candidate matchups such as Collins versus Jackson or Peltola versus Sullivan, and state-level dynamics have produced margins under 3 points in recent surveys. Republicans defend more seats overall but benefit from the vice presidential tiebreaker, while Democrats target flips in states like Maine and North Carolina alongside holds in Michigan. With Election Day on November 3, late shifts in turnout or economic sentiment could narrow or widen several of these races.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,628Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling aggregates show a Democratic-leaning national environment with a generic ballot lead near D+7, keeping multiple 2026 Senate contests tight and likely to finish within 5 points. Key battlegrounds include Texas, Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, and New Hampshire, where open seats from retirements, candidate matchups such as Collins versus Jackson or Peltola versus Sullivan, and state-level dynamics have produced margins under 3 points in recent surveys. Republicans defend more seats overall but benefit from the vice presidential tiebreaker, while Democrats target flips in states like Maine and North Carolina alongside holds in Michigan. With Election Day on November 3, late shifts in turnout or economic sentiment could narrow or widen several of these races.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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