Several 2026 Senate contests are polling within or near 5-point margins, driven by open seats from retirements in Michigan, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, plus competitive matchups in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. Recent polling averages show these races fluctuating between slight Democratic or Republican edges amid a national generic ballot environment favoring Democrats by roughly 6-7 points. Factors tightening the field include candidate quality and name recognition in states with divided partisan leans, special elections in Ohio and Florida, and ongoing campaign spending in battlegrounds. With Election Day weeks away, remaining debates, turnout efforts, and any late shifts in voter sentiment could determine which races finish closest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$62,628 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
84%
Kansas
72%
Alaska
68%
Michigan
62%
Iowa
62%
Ohio (Special)
57%
Maine
53%
New Hampshire
63%
Nebraska
48%
South Carolina
40%
Georgia
27%
Florida (Special)
25%
Minnesota
21%
North Carolina
14%
New Mexico
12%
Montana
8%
Virginia
5%
Colorado
4%
$62,628 Vol.
Texas
$7,129 Vol.
84%
Kansas
$556 Vol.
72%
Alaska
$2,789 Vol.
68%
Michigan
$2,735 Vol.
62%
Iowa
$5,645 Vol.
62%
Ohio (Special)
$3,936 Vol.
57%
Maine
$1,020 Vol.
53%
New Hampshire
$2,352 Vol.
63%
Nebraska
$3,687 Vol.
48%
South Carolina
$109 Vol.
40%
Georgia
$1,394 Vol.
27%
Florida (Special)
$2,450 Vol.
25%
Minnesota
$9,715 Vol.
21%
North Carolina
$5,584 Vol.
14%
New Mexico
$6,665 Vol.
12%
Montana
$2,919 Vol.
8%
Virginia
$1,344 Vol.
5%
Colorado
$2,599 Vol.
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests are polling within or near 5-point margins, driven by open seats from retirements in Michigan, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, plus competitive matchups in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. Recent polling averages show these races fluctuating between slight Democratic or Republican edges amid a national generic ballot environment favoring Democrats by roughly 6-7 points. Factors tightening the field include candidate quality and name recognition in states with divided partisan leans, special elections in Ohio and Florida, and ongoing campaign spending in battlegrounds. With Election Day weeks away, remaining debates, turnout efforts, and any late shifts in voter sentiment could determine which races finish closest.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$62,628Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests are polling within or near 5-point margins, driven by open seats from retirements in Michigan, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, plus competitive matchups in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. Recent polling averages show these races fluctuating between slight Democratic or Republican edges amid a national generic ballot environment favoring Democrats by roughly 6-7 points. Factors tightening the field include candidate quality and name recognition in states with divided partisan leans, special elections in Ohio and Florida, and ongoing campaign spending in battlegrounds. With Election Day weeks away, remaining debates, turnout efforts, and any late shifts in voter sentiment could determine which races finish closest.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,628Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Several 2026 Senate contests are polling within or near 5-point margins, driven by open seats from retirements in Michigan, New Hampshire, and North Carolina, plus competitive matchups in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas. Recent polling averages show these races fluctuating between slight Democratic or Republican edges amid a national generic ballot environment favoring Democrats by roughly 6-7 points. Factors tightening the field include candidate quality and name recognition in states with divided partisan leans, special elections in Ohio and Florida, and ongoing campaign spending in battlegrounds. With Election Day weeks away, remaining debates, turnout efforts, and any late shifts in voter sentiment could determine which races finish closest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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