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Pemilihan Umum·Senat

Next Senate Majority Leader?

icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?
Pemilihan Umum·Senat

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 43%

Chuck Schumer 35%

Brian Schatz 5.0%

Tom Cotton 2.6%

Polymarket

$155,065 Vol.

John Thune 43%

Chuck Schumer 35%

Brian Schatz 5.0%

Tom Cotton 2.6%

Polymarket

$155,065 Vol.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$26,000 Vol.

43%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$14,335 Vol.

35%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,882 Vol.

5%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$7,630 Vol.

3%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$4,889 Vol.

2%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$25,051 Vol.

1%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$5,031 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$4,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$4,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$5,349 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Uncertainty over Senate control after the November 2026 midterms drives the tight odds in this market, with Republicans holding a narrow 53-47 majority and Democrats needing a net gain of four seats on a map featuring multiple competitive races. John Thune, the current Republican leader, holds a modest edge as the presumed choice if his party retains power, while Chuck Schumer leads Democratic positioning should the chamber flip. Recent statements from both leaders highlight the contest's closeness, including Thune's public concerns about voter sentiment tied to presidential approval trends and economic pressures, alongside Schumer's increased optimism about Democratic recruitment and turnout. Internal caucus votes and any late shifts in key battlegrounds could alter the implied probabilities ahead of the January 2027 leadership selections.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$155,065
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 3, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Uncertainty over Senate control after the November 2026 midterms drives the tight odds in this market, with Republicans holding a narrow 53-47 majority and Democrats needing a net gain of four seats on a map featuring multiple competitive races. John Thune, the current Republican leader, holds a modest edge as the presumed choice if his party retains power, while Chuck Schumer leads Democratic positioning should the chamber flip. Recent statements from both leaders highlight the contest's closeness, including Thune's public concerns about voter sentiment tied to presidential approval trends and economic pressures, alongside Schumer's increased optimism about Democratic recruitment and turnout. Internal caucus votes and any late shifts in key battlegrounds could alter the implied probabilities ahead of the January 2027 leadership selections.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$155,065
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 3, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Senate Majority Leader?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "John Thune" di 43%, diikuti oleh "Chuck Schumer" di 35%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 43¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Senate Majority Leader?" telah menghasilkan $155.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 23, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Senate Majority Leader?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Senate Majority Leader?" adalah "John Thune" di 43%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Chuck Schumer" di 35%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Senate Majority Leader?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.