The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins of 25 points or more in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a 90% probability of a GOP hold. Incumbent Kevin Hern's decision to run for Senate created an open seat, prompting a crowded Republican primary that narrowed to a runoff before Mark Tedford secured the nomination against Democrat John Croisant, who faced no primary opposition. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Republican nominee, sharply depressed GOP turnout, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November voting concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
$25,122 Vol.
$25,122 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$25,122 Vol.
$25,122 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$13,268 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$11,854 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins of 25 points or more in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a 90% probability of a GOP hold. Incumbent Kevin Hern's decision to run for Senate created an open seat, prompting a crowded Republican primary that narrowed to a runoff before Mark Tedford secured the nomination against Democrat John Croisant, who faced no primary opposition. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Republican nominee, sharply depressed GOP turnout, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November voting concludes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$25,122Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins of 25 points or more in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a 90% probability of a GOP hold. Incumbent Kevin Hern's decision to run for Senate created an open seat, prompting a crowded Republican primary that narrowed to a runoff before Mark Tedford secured the nomination against Democrat John Croisant, who faced no primary opposition. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Republican nominee, sharply depressed GOP turnout, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November voting concludes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,122Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins of 25 points or more in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a 90% probability of a GOP hold. Incumbent Kevin Hern's decision to run for Senate created an open seat, prompting a crowded Republican primary that narrowed to a runoff before Mark Tedford secured the nomination against Democrat John Croisant, who faced no primary opposition. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the Republican nominee, sharply depressed GOP turnout, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November voting concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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