Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and Governor Ron DeSantis in 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat to an R+8 partisan voting index, incorporating more rural and suburban areas that favored Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in the August Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly won the crowded Republican primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters now rate the November general election as likely or lean Republican, reflecting the map’s impact on voter composition and turnout patterns. A late-August poll showed the matchup essentially tied among likely voters, underscoring that the race remains competitive but favors the GOP challenger under the new boundaries.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$19,527 Vol.
$19,527 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
35%
$19,527 Vol.
$19,527 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,445 Vol.
65%
Democratic Party
$8,082 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and Governor Ron DeSantis in 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat to an R+8 partisan voting index, incorporating more rural and suburban areas that favored Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in the August Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly won the crowded Republican primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters now rate the November general election as likely or lean Republican, reflecting the map’s impact on voter composition and turnout patterns. A late-August poll showed the matchup essentially tied among likely voters, underscoring that the race remains competitive but favors the GOP challenger under the new boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$19,527Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and Governor Ron DeSantis in 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat to an R+8 partisan voting index, incorporating more rural and suburban areas that favored Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in the August Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly won the crowded Republican primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters now rate the November general election as likely or lean Republican, reflecting the map’s impact on voter composition and turnout patterns. A late-August poll showed the matchup essentially tied among likely voters, underscoring that the race remains competitive but favors the GOP challenger under the new boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,527Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers and Governor Ron DeSantis in 2026 shifted Florida’s 9th congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat to an R+8 partisan voting index, incorporating more rural and suburban areas that favored Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed in the August Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly won the crowded Republican primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters now rate the November general election as likely or lean Republican, reflecting the map’s impact on voter composition and turnout patterns. A late-August poll showed the matchup essentially tied among likely voters, underscoring that the race remains competitive but favors the GOP challenger under the new boundaries.
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