Incumbent Democratic Rep. Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the September 8 primaries and November general election, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Democratic Party a 93 percent implied probability of retaining the seat. Recent polls show her maintaining double-digit leads over prospective Republican opponents such as Lily Tang Williams in head-to-head matchups, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the district as Solid or Likely Democratic. Her strong performance in Democratic primary surveys further reinforces expectations of a unified party nominee. A Republican victory would require either an unexpected national midterm shift favoring the party or a significant late-campaign development that alters voter turnout or preferences in this battleground-leaning district.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNH-02 House Election Winner
NH-02 House Election Winner
$16,343 Vol.
$16,343 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$16,343 Vol.
$16,343 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,706 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$8,637 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the September 8 primaries and November general election, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Democratic Party a 93 percent implied probability of retaining the seat. Recent polls show her maintaining double-digit leads over prospective Republican opponents such as Lily Tang Williams in head-to-head matchups, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the district as Solid or Likely Democratic. Her strong performance in Democratic primary surveys further reinforces expectations of a unified party nominee. A Republican victory would require either an unexpected national midterm shift favoring the party or a significant late-campaign development that alters voter turnout or preferences in this battleground-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$16,343Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the September 8 primaries and November general election, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Democratic Party a 93 percent implied probability of retaining the seat. Recent polls show her maintaining double-digit leads over prospective Republican opponents such as Lily Tang Williams in head-to-head matchups, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the district as Solid or Likely Democratic. Her strong performance in Democratic primary surveys further reinforces expectations of a unified party nominee. A Republican victory would require either an unexpected national midterm shift favoring the party or a significant late-campaign development that alters voter turnout or preferences in this battleground-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,343Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the September 8 primaries and November general election, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Democratic Party a 93 percent implied probability of retaining the seat. Recent polls show her maintaining double-digit leads over prospective Republican opponents such as Lily Tang Williams in head-to-head matchups, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the district as Solid or Likely Democratic. Her strong performance in Democratic primary surveys further reinforces expectations of a unified party nominee. A Republican victory would require either an unexpected national midterm shift favoring the party or a significant late-campaign development that alters voter turnout or preferences in this battleground-leaning district.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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