The Republican Party holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability in the KS-01 House election market due to the district's longstanding conservative voter base across rural western Kansas, the incumbent Tracey Mann's established position since 2021, and minimal organized Democratic opposition entering the August 2026 primaries. Primary contests on both sides remain low-profile with no major polling shifts or national tailwinds altering the fundamentals. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins exceeding 30 points and standard base-rate expectations for this seat. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include an unexpected Republican primary upset on August 4, a major national political realignment closer to November, or late developments affecting turnout in the limited Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
$14,726 Vol.
$14,726 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$14,726 Vol.
$14,726 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,724 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$10,002 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability in the KS-01 House election market due to the district's longstanding conservative voter base across rural western Kansas, the incumbent Tracey Mann's established position since 2021, and minimal organized Democratic opposition entering the August 2026 primaries. Primary contests on both sides remain low-profile with no major polling shifts or national tailwinds altering the fundamentals. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins exceeding 30 points and standard base-rate expectations for this seat. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include an unexpected Republican primary upset on August 4, a major national political realignment closer to November, or late developments affecting turnout in the limited Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$14,726Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability in the KS-01 House election market due to the district's longstanding conservative voter base across rural western Kansas, the incumbent Tracey Mann's established position since 2021, and minimal organized Democratic opposition entering the August 2026 primaries. Primary contests on both sides remain low-profile with no major polling shifts or national tailwinds altering the fundamentals. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins exceeding 30 points and standard base-rate expectations for this seat. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include an unexpected Republican primary upset on August 4, a major national political realignment closer to November, or late developments affecting turnout in the limited Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,726Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability in the KS-01 House election market due to the district's longstanding conservative voter base across rural western Kansas, the incumbent Tracey Mann's established position since 2021, and minimal organized Democratic opposition entering the August 2026 primaries. Primary contests on both sides remain low-profile with no major polling shifts or national tailwinds altering the fundamentals. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins exceeding 30 points and standard base-rate expectations for this seat. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include an unexpected Republican primary upset on August 4, a major national political realignment closer to November, or late developments affecting turnout in the limited Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
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