Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s solidly Republican 1st district, where recent general-election margins have exceeded 30 points and Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. The August 4 primary against challenger Craig Musser occurs in days, after which the nominee is expected to face minimal Democratic opposition in the fall. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and low historical crossover voting. A late primary upset or unforeseen general-election surge by a Democratic candidate could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable absent major developments before November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
$14,726 Vol.
$14,726 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$14,726 Vol.
$14,726 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,724 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$10,002 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s solidly Republican 1st district, where recent general-election margins have exceeded 30 points and Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. The August 4 primary against challenger Craig Musser occurs in days, after which the nominee is expected to face minimal Democratic opposition in the fall. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and low historical crossover voting. A late primary upset or unforeseen general-election surge by a Democratic candidate could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable absent major developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$14,726Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s solidly Republican 1st district, where recent general-election margins have exceeded 30 points and Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. The August 4 primary against challenger Craig Musser occurs in days, after which the nominee is expected to face minimal Democratic opposition in the fall. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and low historical crossover voting. A late primary upset or unforeseen general-election surge by a Democratic candidate could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable absent major developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,726Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in Kansas’s solidly Republican 1st district, where recent general-election margins have exceeded 30 points and Cook Political Report maintains a Solid R rating. The August 4 primary against challenger Craig Musser occurs in days, after which the nominee is expected to face minimal Democratic opposition in the fall. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects the district’s consistent partisan lean, incumbency advantages, and low historical crossover voting. A late primary upset or unforeseen general-election surge by a Democratic candidate could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable absent major developments before November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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