Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district due to the area’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and “Solid Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Tenney, seeking a third term in the current district lines, won her prior general election by more than 30 points and faces no primary opposition, while Alissa Ellman secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating a rival in a low-turnout primary. Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, emphasizes affordability and veterans’ issues but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the organizational advantages typically needed in this rural and suburban territory stretching along Lake Ontario. Minor independent candidates add little competition. A late national shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors favor Tenney’s reelection on November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-24 House Election Winner
NY-24 House Election Winner
$20,650 Vol.
$20,650 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
9%
$20,650 Vol.
$20,650 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
$10,946 Vol.
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
$9,704 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district due to the area’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and “Solid Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Tenney, seeking a third term in the current district lines, won her prior general election by more than 30 points and faces no primary opposition, while Alissa Ellman secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating a rival in a low-turnout primary. Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, emphasizes affordability and veterans’ issues but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the organizational advantages typically needed in this rural and suburban territory stretching along Lake Ontario. Minor independent candidates add little competition. A late national shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors favor Tenney’s reelection on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$20,650Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district due to the area’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and “Solid Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Tenney, seeking a third term in the current district lines, won her prior general election by more than 30 points and faces no primary opposition, while Alissa Ellman secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating a rival in a low-turnout primary. Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, emphasizes affordability and veterans’ issues but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the organizational advantages typically needed in this rural and suburban territory stretching along Lake Ontario. Minor independent candidates add little competition. A late national shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors favor Tenney’s reelection on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,650Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district due to the area’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and “Solid Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Tenney, seeking a third term in the current district lines, won her prior general election by more than 30 points and faces no primary opposition, while Alissa Ellman secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating a rival in a low-turnout primary. Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, emphasizes affordability and veterans’ issues but trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the organizational advantages typically needed in this rural and suburban territory stretching along Lake Ontario. Minor independent candidates add little competition. A late national shift, major scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors favor Tenney’s reelection on November 3.
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