Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York's 24th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its rural character along Lake Ontario and limited Democratic inroads. The canceled Republican primary allows Tenney to focus resources on the general election, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum with minimal statewide attention. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the race outlook in recent weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-24 House Election Winner
NY-24 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
17%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,102 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$1,881 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York's 24th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its rural character along Lake Ontario and limited Democratic inroads. The canceled Republican primary allows Tenney to focus resources on the general election, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum with minimal statewide attention. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the race outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$3,983Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York's 24th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its rural character along Lake Ontario and limited Democratic inroads. The canceled Republican primary allows Tenney to focus resources on the general election, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum with minimal statewide attention. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the race outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,983Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a strong position in New York's 24th Congressional District ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its rural character along Lake Ontario and limited Democratic inroads. The canceled Republican primary allows Tenney to focus resources on the general election, while the Democratic primary on June 23 features Alissa Ellman and Diana Kastenbaum with minimal statewide attention. No major polling shifts or candidate withdrawals have altered the race outlook in recent weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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