United Russia is widely projected to secure the largest seat total in the ongoing State Duma election, leaving the contest for third place primarily between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. Recent polling from government-linked firms such as FOM and VCIOM has shown LDPR and New People trading positions in the low double digits behind United Russia, while independent surveys have sometimes placed KPRF ahead of both. Trader consensus favoring LDPR at 49% for third reflects its established protest electorate, consistent single-mandate performance, and positioning as a loyal yet visible alternative. New People at 35.5% draws support from its recent poll gains after criticizing internet restrictions and its merger with the Party of Growth. KPRF’s low 4% probability follows weaker recent momentum and risks of losing its traditional second-place standing. The three-day voting window ending September 20 and Yabloko’s removal from the ballot further shape the final seat distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 49%
New People (NL) 35%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) <1%
$184,032 Vol.
$184,032 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
49%
New People (NL)
35%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 49%
New People (NL) 35%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) <1%
$184,032 Vol.
$184,032 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$55,501 Vol.
49%
New People (NL)
$57,588 Vol.
35%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$30,379 Vol.
5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$12,489 Vol.
1%
United Russia (ER)
$7,726 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$4,019 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,593 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$13,737 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia is widely projected to secure the largest seat total in the ongoing State Duma election, leaving the contest for third place primarily between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. Recent polling from government-linked firms such as FOM and VCIOM has shown LDPR and New People trading positions in the low double digits behind United Russia, while independent surveys have sometimes placed KPRF ahead of both. Trader consensus favoring LDPR at 49% for third reflects its established protest electorate, consistent single-mandate performance, and positioning as a loyal yet visible alternative. New People at 35.5% draws support from its recent poll gains after criticizing internet restrictions and its merger with the Party of Growth. KPRF’s low 4% probability follows weaker recent momentum and risks of losing its traditional second-place standing. The three-day voting window ending September 20 and Yabloko’s removal from the ballot further shape the final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$184,032Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia is widely projected to secure the largest seat total in the ongoing State Duma election, leaving the contest for third place primarily between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. Recent polling from government-linked firms such as FOM and VCIOM has shown LDPR and New People trading positions in the low double digits behind United Russia, while independent surveys have sometimes placed KPRF ahead of both. Trader consensus favoring LDPR at 49% for third reflects its established protest electorate, consistent single-mandate performance, and positioning as a loyal yet visible alternative. New People at 35.5% draws support from its recent poll gains after criticizing internet restrictions and its merger with the Party of Growth. KPRF’s low 4% probability follows weaker recent momentum and risks of losing its traditional second-place standing. The three-day voting window ending September 20 and Yabloko’s removal from the ballot further shape the final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$184,032Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia is widely projected to secure the largest seat total in the ongoing State Duma election, leaving the contest for third place primarily between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, New People, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. Recent polling from government-linked firms such as FOM and VCIOM has shown LDPR and New People trading positions in the low double digits behind United Russia, while independent surveys have sometimes placed KPRF ahead of both. Trader consensus favoring LDPR at 49% for third reflects its established protest electorate, consistent single-mandate performance, and positioning as a loyal yet visible alternative. New People at 35.5% draws support from its recent poll gains after criticizing internet restrictions and its merger with the Party of Growth. KPRF’s low 4% probability follows weaker recent momentum and risks of losing its traditional second-place standing. The three-day voting window ending September 20 and Yabloko’s removal from the ballot further shape the final seat distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
49%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
94%
Apakah Rusia Bersatu (ER) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Rusia berikutnya?
100%
Ya
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