The recent September 2026 State Duma election results place the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in third position on the party-list vote, narrowly ahead of New People, reflecting LDPR's established voter base and consistent performance among systemic opposition parties. LDPR maintained its traditional support through nationalist messaging and regional strength under leader Leonid Slutsky, while New People, despite merging with the Party of Growth and fielding prominent candidates, finished just behind in preliminary tallies around 8-9% versus LDPR's share. With over 97% of precincts reported and turnout exceeding 59%, official certification is the main remaining step. Late adjustments from single-mandate districts or disputes over electronic voting could theoretically shift the exact margin, though the current gap leaves little room for reversal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$260,198 Vol.
$260,198 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
100%

New People (NL)
1%
$260,198 Vol.
$260,198 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
100%

New People (NL)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The recent September 2026 State Duma election results place the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in third position on the party-list vote, narrowly ahead of New People, reflecting LDPR's established voter base and consistent performance among systemic opposition parties. LDPR maintained its traditional support through nationalist messaging and regional strength under leader Leonid Slutsky, while New People, despite merging with the Party of Growth and fielding prominent candidates, finished just behind in preliminary tallies around 8-9% versus LDPR's share. With over 97% of precincts reported and turnout exceeding 59%, official certification is the main remaining step. Late adjustments from single-mandate districts or disputes over electronic voting could theoretically shift the exact margin, though the current gap leaves little room for reversal.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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