Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its Cook PVI and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Langworthy, serving since 2023, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Aaron Gies secured his nomination in June but trails in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts or national headwinds altering the balance. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-23 House Election Winner
NY-23 House Election Winner
$32,257 Vol.
$32,257 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
4%
$32,257 Vol.
$32,257 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
$16,757 Vol.
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
$15,500 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its Cook PVI and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Langworthy, serving since 2023, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Aaron Gies secured his nomination in June but trails in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts or national headwinds altering the balance. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,257Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its Cook PVI and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Langworthy, serving since 2023, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Aaron Gies secured his nomination in June but trails in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts or national headwinds altering the balance. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,257Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its Cook PVI and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Langworthy, serving since 2023, faced no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while Democrat Aaron Gies secured his nomination in June but trails in a district where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts or national headwinds altering the balance. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
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