Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo faces Republican entrepreneur Kellie Keenan in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district, where the seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1994 and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. All major forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the September 9 primaries and November 3 general election. Amo, first elected in a 2023 special election and reelected with 63 percent in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million against roughly $12,000 for his opponent. These structural factors, combined with the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent Democratic share. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major personal or campaign scandal, an unexpected national political shift, or an unusually competitive Republican nominee, though historical precedent and current indicators make such developments improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
$32,011 Vol.
$32,011 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$32,011 Vol.
$32,011 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,061 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$25,949 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo faces Republican entrepreneur Kellie Keenan in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district, where the seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1994 and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. All major forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the September 9 primaries and November 3 general election. Amo, first elected in a 2023 special election and reelected with 63 percent in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million against roughly $12,000 for his opponent. These structural factors, combined with the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent Democratic share. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major personal or campaign scandal, an unexpected national political shift, or an unusually competitive Republican nominee, though historical precedent and current indicators make such developments improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,011Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo faces Republican entrepreneur Kellie Keenan in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district, where the seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1994 and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. All major forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the September 9 primaries and November 3 general election. Amo, first elected in a 2023 special election and reelected with 63 percent in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million against roughly $12,000 for his opponent. These structural factors, combined with the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent Democratic share. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major personal or campaign scandal, an unexpected national political shift, or an unusually competitive Republican nominee, though historical precedent and current indicators make such developments improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,011Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Amo faces Republican entrepreneur Kellie Keenan in Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district, where the seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1994 and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12. All major forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the September 9 primaries and November 3 general election. Amo, first elected in a 2023 special election and reelected with 63 percent in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million against roughly $12,000 for his opponent. These structural factors, combined with the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 95 percent Democratic share. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major personal or campaign scandal, an unexpected national political shift, or an unusually competitive Republican nominee, though historical precedent and current indicators make such developments improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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