Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIL-15 House Election Winner
IL-15 House Election Winner
$38,437 Vol.
$38,437 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Miller (R)
96%
Jennifer Todd (D)
6%
$38,437 Vol.
$38,437 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Miller (R)
$19,733 Vol.
96%
Jennifer Todd (D)
$18,705 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$38,437Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,437Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
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