Virginia's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across major forecasters. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and holds a substantial edge entering the November general election against the presumptive Republican nominee. This positioning stems from the district's voter registration patterns, historical presidential results, and the absence of major political shifts or competitive challenges in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 93 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as an incumbent retirement, significant scandal, or unexpected national wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$35,435 Vol.
$35,435 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$35,435 Vol.
$35,435 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,078 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$15,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across major forecasters. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and holds a substantial edge entering the November general election against the presumptive Republican nominee. This positioning stems from the district's voter registration patterns, historical presidential results, and the absence of major political shifts or competitive challenges in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 93 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as an incumbent retirement, significant scandal, or unexpected national wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,435Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across major forecasters. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and holds a substantial edge entering the November general election against the presumptive Republican nominee. This positioning stems from the district's voter registration patterns, historical presidential results, and the absence of major political shifts or competitive challenges in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 93 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as an incumbent retirement, significant scandal, or unexpected national wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,435Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across major forecasters. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and holds a substantial edge entering the November general election against the presumptive Republican nominee. This positioning stems from the district's voter registration patterns, historical presidential results, and the absence of major political shifts or competitive challenges in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 93 percent for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as an incumbent retirement, significant scandal, or unexpected national wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
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