Virginia's 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott secured renomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and faces only a lightly funded Republican challenger in Edwin Rivera, with no competitive polling or significant campaign activity reported. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome remain narrow and would require extraordinary late developments, such as a major candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unprecedented national political realignment not evident in current indicators.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$63,234 Vol.
$63,234 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$63,234 Vol.
$63,234 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,571 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$41,664 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott secured renomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and faces only a lightly funded Republican challenger in Edwin Rivera, with no competitive polling or significant campaign activity reported. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome remain narrow and would require extraordinary late developments, such as a major candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unprecedented national political realignment not evident in current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$63,234Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott secured renomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and faces only a lightly funded Republican challenger in Edwin Rivera, with no competitive polling or significant campaign activity reported. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome remain narrow and would require extraordinary late developments, such as a major candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unprecedented national political realignment not evident in current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,234Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott secured renomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and faces only a lightly funded Republican challenger in Edwin Rivera, with no competitive polling or significant campaign activity reported. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome remain narrow and would require extraordinary late developments, such as a major candidate health event, ethics controversy, or an unprecedented national political realignment not evident in current indicators.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan