Maryland’s 3rd congressional district has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, reflected in its D+12 partisan voting index and solid-D ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth won the seat in 2024 with 59 percent and faces only token Republican opposition in the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary, while contested, is unlikely to alter the general-election outlook given the district’s voter composition. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for a Democratic victory incorporates the structural advantage of incumbency, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data suggesting a competitive Republican path. A national political reversal of unusual magnitude or an unforeseen candidate withdrawal would be required to narrow the gap appreciably before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$26,066 Vol.
$26,066 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$26,066 Vol.
$26,066 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,244 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,822 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, reflected in its D+12 partisan voting index and solid-D ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth won the seat in 2024 with 59 percent and faces only token Republican opposition in the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary, while contested, is unlikely to alter the general-election outlook given the district’s voter composition. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for a Democratic victory incorporates the structural advantage of incumbency, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data suggesting a competitive Republican path. A national political reversal of unusual magnitude or an unforeseen candidate withdrawal would be required to narrow the gap appreciably before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,066Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, reflected in its D+12 partisan voting index and solid-D ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth won the seat in 2024 with 59 percent and faces only token Republican opposition in the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary, while contested, is unlikely to alter the general-election outlook given the district’s voter composition. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for a Democratic victory incorporates the structural advantage of incumbency, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data suggesting a competitive Republican path. A national political reversal of unusual magnitude or an unforeseen candidate withdrawal would be required to narrow the gap appreciably before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,066Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd congressional district has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, reflected in its D+12 partisan voting index and solid-D ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth won the seat in 2024 with 59 percent and faces only token Republican opposition in the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary, while contested, is unlikely to alter the general-election outlook given the district’s voter composition. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for a Democratic victory incorporates the structural advantage of incumbency, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of any recent polling or fundraising data suggesting a competitive Republican path. A national political reversal of unusual magnitude or an unforeseen candidate withdrawal would be required to narrow the gap appreciably before Election Day.
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