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Politik·Peru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Peru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Rafael López Aliaga 73.8%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 13.5%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 5.1%

Francis James Allison Oyague 3.2%

Polymarket

$166,070 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 73.8%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 13.5%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 5.1%

Francis James Allison Oyague 3.2%

Polymarket

$166,070 Vol.

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$16,672 Vol.

74%

icon for Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

$54,318 Vol.

14%

icon for Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

$11,451 Vol.

5%

icon for Francis James Allison Oyague

Francis James Allison Oyague

$20,597 Vol.

3%

icon for Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

$7,459 Vol.

3%

icon for Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

$5,994 Vol.

2%

icon for Yehude Simón Munaro

Yehude Simón Munaro

$6,283 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

$1,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

$9,636 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

$1,727 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

$1,799 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

$2,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

$1,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

$2,379 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

$2,446 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

$1,684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

$1,898 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

$2,479 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

$2,201 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

$3,969 Vol.

<1%

icon for Segundo Valdez Zavala

Segundo Valdez Zavala

$1,769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

$2,073 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

$3,416 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga, running as first regidor on the Renovación Popular list after Luis Rubio’s resignation, holds a clear lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, Lima mayoral election. A mid-September Datum simulacro showed him at 28.4% of valid votes against Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú) at 18.2% and Francis Allison (Avanza País) at 11.3%, with similar margins in CPI and other surveys across most districts. Legal challenges to his eligibility have been rejected, allowing the list to proceed under municipal rules that would seat the top regidor as mayor if it wins. Bruce remains the nearest competitor, particularly strong in his home district of Surco, while Daniel Urresti, Susel Paredes, and others trail further behind. The two-week timeline to election day and ongoing JNE debates leave limited room for major shifts in the current trader consensus.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$166,070
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga, running as first regidor on the Renovación Popular list after Luis Rubio’s resignation, holds a clear lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, Lima mayoral election. A mid-September Datum simulacro showed him at 28.4% of valid votes against Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú) at 18.2% and Francis Allison (Avanza País) at 11.3%, with similar margins in CPI and other surveys across most districts. Legal challenges to his eligibility have been rejected, allowing the list to proceed under municipal rules that would seat the top regidor as mayor if it wins. Bruce remains the nearest competitor, particularly strong in his home district of Surco, while Daniel Urresti, Susel Paredes, and others trail further behind. The two-week timeline to election day and ongoing JNE debates leave limited room for major shifts in the current trader consensus.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$166,070
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Lima Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 23 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Rafael López Aliaga" di 74%, diikuti oleh "Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 74¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 74% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $166.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 24, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Lima Mayoral Election Winner," jelajahi 23 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" adalah "Rafael López Aliaga" di 74%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 74% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.