Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st congressional district race, backed by the district’s consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2008, and repeated victories including 58 percent in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting strong voter alignment in coastal and southern Maine areas including Portland. Ronald Russell secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in implied probabilities, consistent with his prior loss by more than 20 points. Trader consensus reflects limited recent polling shifts or candidate-specific developments capable of altering the baseline. A national partisan wave, unexpected health or campaign event, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow margins, though structural factors favor the incumbent through November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiME-01 House Election Winner
ME-01 House Election Winner
$45,038 Vol.
$45,038 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Chellie Pingree (D)
95%
Ronald Russell (R)
3%
$45,038 Vol.
$45,038 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Chellie Pingree (D)
$30,137 Vol.
95%
Ronald Russell (R)
$14,900 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st congressional district race, backed by the district’s consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2008, and repeated victories including 58 percent in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting strong voter alignment in coastal and southern Maine areas including Portland. Ronald Russell secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in implied probabilities, consistent with his prior loss by more than 20 points. Trader consensus reflects limited recent polling shifts or candidate-specific developments capable of altering the baseline. A national partisan wave, unexpected health or campaign event, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow margins, though structural factors favor the incumbent through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,038Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st congressional district race, backed by the district’s consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2008, and repeated victories including 58 percent in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting strong voter alignment in coastal and southern Maine areas including Portland. Ronald Russell secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in implied probabilities, consistent with his prior loss by more than 20 points. Trader consensus reflects limited recent polling shifts or candidate-specific developments capable of altering the baseline. A national partisan wave, unexpected health or campaign event, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow margins, though structural factors favor the incumbent through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,038Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st congressional district race, backed by the district’s consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2008, and repeated victories including 58 percent in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting strong voter alignment in coastal and southern Maine areas including Portland. Ronald Russell secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in implied probabilities, consistent with his prior loss by more than 20 points. Trader consensus reflects limited recent polling shifts or candidate-specific developments capable of altering the baseline. A national partisan wave, unexpected health or campaign event, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow margins, though structural factors favor the incumbent through November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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