Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with 66 percent of the vote in Missouri's 3rd congressional district, advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69 percent. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and supported the Republican presidential candidate by a 20-point margin in 2024. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. A shift would require an unusual national political realignment or unexpected candidate-specific events before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$21,835 Vol.
$21,835 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$21,835 Vol.
$21,835 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$6,524 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$15,311 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with 66 percent of the vote in Missouri's 3rd congressional district, advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69 percent. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and supported the Republican presidential candidate by a 20-point margin in 2024. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. A shift would require an unusual national political realignment or unexpected candidate-specific events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,835Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with 66 percent of the vote in Missouri's 3rd congressional district, advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69 percent. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and supported the Republican presidential candidate by a 20-point margin in 2024. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. A shift would require an unusual national political realignment or unexpected candidate-specific events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,835Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with 66 percent of the vote in Missouri's 3rd congressional district, advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann, who won her primary with 69 percent. The district carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and supported the Republican presidential candidate by a 20-point margin in 2024. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. A shift would require an unusual national political realignment or unexpected candidate-specific events before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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