Republican Bob Onder, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+10. Missouri's 3rd district has remained in Republican hands since 2013, reflecting consistent voter patterns across recent cycles and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational strength. Traders price Republican victory near 91 percent, aligning with historical base rates for such seats and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A national Democratic wave, significant Republican scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make reversal improbable absent major developments before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$21,835 Vol.
$21,835 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$21,835 Vol.
$21,835 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$6,524 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$15,311 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Bob Onder, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+10. Missouri's 3rd district has remained in Republican hands since 2013, reflecting consistent voter patterns across recent cycles and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational strength. Traders price Republican victory near 91 percent, aligning with historical base rates for such seats and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A national Democratic wave, significant Republican scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make reversal improbable absent major developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,835Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Bob Onder, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+10. Missouri's 3rd district has remained in Republican hands since 2013, reflecting consistent voter patterns across recent cycles and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational strength. Traders price Republican victory near 91 percent, aligning with historical base rates for such seats and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A national Democratic wave, significant Republican scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make reversal improbable absent major developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,835Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Bob Onder, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+10. Missouri's 3rd district has remained in Republican hands since 2013, reflecting consistent voter patterns across recent cycles and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational strength. Traders price Republican victory near 91 percent, aligning with historical base rates for such seats and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A national Democratic wave, significant Republican scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make reversal improbable absent major developments before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan