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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Anthony DiLorenzo 45%

Hollie Noveletsky 27%

Melissa Bailey 6%

Elizabeth Girard 3.7%

Polymarket

$38,280 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo 45%

Hollie Noveletsky 27%

Melissa Bailey 6%

Elizabeth Girard 3.7%

Polymarket

$38,280 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo

$1,135 Vol.

44%

Hollie Noveletsky

$22,330 Vol.

36%

Melissa Bailey

$843 Vol.

6%

Elizabeth Girard

$13,291 Vol.

4%

Brian Cole

$680 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Republican primary set for September 8, 2026, Portsmouth businessman Anthony DiLorenzo leads trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability over Army Reserves veteran and businesswoman Hollie Noveletsky at 34.5%, reflecting a competitive establishment-vs-base dynamic in the open-seat race. DiLorenzo's edge stems from influential NHGOP figure Steve Stepanek's March endorsement, positioning him to consolidate moderate Republicans after entering late last year. Noveletsky counters with a March ad attacking DiLorenzo's immigration stance as amnesty, leveraging her prior endorsements from conservative groups like Maggie's List. Trailing contenders Melissa Bailey, Elizabeth Girard, and Brian Cole face low name recognition absent recent catalysts, amid no public polls since late 2025 showing widespread undecideds.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$38,280
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Republican primary set for September 8, 2026, Portsmouth businessman Anthony DiLorenzo leads trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability over Army Reserves veteran and businesswoman Hollie Noveletsky at 34.5%, reflecting a competitive establishment-vs-base dynamic in the open-seat race. DiLorenzo's edge stems from influential NHGOP figure Steve Stepanek's March endorsement, positioning him to consolidate moderate Republicans after entering late last year. Noveletsky counters with a March ad attacking DiLorenzo's immigration stance as amnesty, leveraging her prior endorsements from conservative groups like Maggie's List. Trailing contenders Melissa Bailey, Elizabeth Girard, and Brian Cole face low name recognition absent recent catalysts, amid no public polls since late 2025 showing widespread undecideds.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$38,280
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Anthony DiLorenzo" di 45%, diikuti oleh "Hollie Noveletsky" di 36%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 45¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $38.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 23, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Anthony DiLorenzo" di 45%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Hollie Noveletsky" di 36%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.