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icon for Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

icon for Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

Lei Paasi 28%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua 27%

Samiuela Vea 26%

Mounu Uaisele 25%

Polymarket
BARU

Lei Paasi 28%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua 27%

Samiuela Vea 26%

Mounu Uaisele 25%

Polymarket
BARU

Lei Paasi

$29 Vol.

28%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua

$29 Vol.

27%

Samiuela Vea

$29 Vol.

26%

Mounu Uaisele

$29 Vol.

25%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

$29 Vol.

25%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$29 Vol.

24%

Alvin Lafu Sika

$29 Vol.

22%

'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila

$29 Vol.

22%

'Olioni Manoa

$29 Vol.

18%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election on October 8 features nine registered candidates after nominations closed September 2–3, following the court-ordered unseating of prior MP Semisi Sika over 2025 electoral expense violations. In Tonga’s first-past-the-post system for people’s representatives, the crowded field—spanning villages like Kolofo’ou and Haveluloto—has fragmented support, with no single contender securing broad consolidation. Lei Paasi holds the narrowest trader edge at 28% amid local campaign momentum, while Sione Harvard Tupouniua, Samiuela Vea, and others cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting village networks, limited time for voter outreach, and withdrawals that consolidated behind figures like Malakai Koloamatangi. Absent a dominant former incumbent such as ‘Uhilamoelangi Fasi, outcomes hinge on turnout patterns and last-minute alliances before polling.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$262
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election on October 8 features nine registered candidates after nominations closed September 2–3, following the court-ordered unseating of prior MP Semisi Sika over 2025 electoral expense violations. In Tonga’s first-past-the-post system for people’s representatives, the crowded field—spanning villages like Kolofo’ou and Haveluloto—has fragmented support, with no single contender securing broad consolidation. Lei Paasi holds the narrowest trader edge at 28% amid local campaign momentum, while Sione Harvard Tupouniua, Samiuela Vea, and others cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting village networks, limited time for voter outreach, and withdrawals that consolidated behind figures like Malakai Koloamatangi. Absent a dominant former incumbent such as ‘Uhilamoelangi Fasi, outcomes hinge on turnout patterns and last-minute alliances before polling.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$262
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Lei Paasi" di 28%, diikuti oleh "Sione Harvard Tupouniua" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 28¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" adalah "Lei Paasi" di 28%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Sione Harvard Tupouniua" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.