Recent polling for New Zealand's November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows National and Labour running neck-and-neck, with party support fluctuating within a few points across surveys from Roy Morgan, Taxpayers' Union-Curia, and others through early August. This keeps the contest for second place highly competitive, as small swings in primary vote or minor-party performance can determine which major party trails. Government announcements on EV infrastructure and business funding, alongside Labour's policy releases and candidate list, have provided limited separation so far. Upcoming events such as further debates, economic data releases, and final enrolment trends through October could shift voter intentions and widen the gap reflected in trader pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 52%
Labour Party 46%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Green Party <1%
$17,460 Vol.
$17,460 Vol.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
52%
Labour Party
46%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
National Party 52%
Labour Party 46%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Green Party <1%
$17,460 Vol.
$17,460 Vol.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
$8,578 Vol.
52%
Labour Party
$4,636 Vol.
46%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Vol.
1%
Green Party
$542 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand's November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows National and Labour running neck-and-neck, with party support fluctuating within a few points across surveys from Roy Morgan, Taxpayers' Union-Curia, and others through early August. This keeps the contest for second place highly competitive, as small swings in primary vote or minor-party performance can determine which major party trails. Government announcements on EV infrastructure and business funding, alongside Labour's policy releases and candidate list, have provided limited separation so far. Upcoming events such as further debates, economic data releases, and final enrolment trends through October could shift voter intentions and widen the gap reflected in trader pricing.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volume
$17,460Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand's November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows National and Labour running neck-and-neck, with party support fluctuating within a few points across surveys from Roy Morgan, Taxpayers' Union-Curia, and others through early August. This keeps the contest for second place highly competitive, as small swings in primary vote or minor-party performance can determine which major party trails. Government announcements on EV infrastructure and business funding, alongside Labour's policy releases and candidate list, have provided limited separation so far. Upcoming events such as further debates, economic data releases, and final enrolment trends through October could shift voter intentions and widen the gap reflected in trader pricing.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$17,460Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand's November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows National and Labour running neck-and-neck, with party support fluctuating within a few points across surveys from Roy Morgan, Taxpayers' Union-Curia, and others through early August. This keeps the contest for second place highly competitive, as small swings in primary vote or minor-party performance can determine which major party trails. Government announcements on EV infrastructure and business funding, alongside Labour's policy releases and candidate list, have provided limited separation so far. Upcoming events such as further debates, economic data releases, and final enrolment trends through October could shift voter intentions and widen the gap reflected in trader pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
51%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
59%
Labour
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