Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows a tight contest between the incumbent National-led coalition and the Labour opposition under MMP rules, where minor parties such as ACT, New Zealand First, the Greens, Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunities Party can determine government formation. A September Taxpayers’ Union–Curia survey projected the right bloc at 64 seats while other late-August and early-September polls from Roy Morgan and Reid Research placed Labour-aligned parties narrowly ahead on seat projections. Leadership stability questions for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and voter concerns over cost-of-living pressures have kept both major parties below 32 percent in most surveys, sustaining trader assessments that Labour holds a modest edge in the race to secure the most seats or assemble a viable coalition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 56%
National Party 45%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$59,817 Vol.
$59,817 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
45%
Labour Party
56%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party 56%
National Party 45%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$59,817 Vol.
$59,817 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
$24,464 Vol.
45%
Labour Party
$19,161 Vol.
56%
Green Party
$4,208 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$4,166 Vol.
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$3,571 Vol.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$4,245 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows a tight contest between the incumbent National-led coalition and the Labour opposition under MMP rules, where minor parties such as ACT, New Zealand First, the Greens, Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunities Party can determine government formation. A September Taxpayers’ Union–Curia survey projected the right bloc at 64 seats while other late-August and early-September polls from Roy Morgan and Reid Research placed Labour-aligned parties narrowly ahead on seat projections. Leadership stability questions for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and voter concerns over cost-of-living pressures have kept both major parties below 32 percent in most surveys, sustaining trader assessments that Labour holds a modest edge in the race to secure the most seats or assemble a viable coalition.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$59,817Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows a tight contest between the incumbent National-led coalition and the Labour opposition under MMP rules, where minor parties such as ACT, New Zealand First, the Greens, Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunities Party can determine government formation. A September Taxpayers’ Union–Curia survey projected the right bloc at 64 seats while other late-August and early-September polls from Roy Morgan and Reid Research placed Labour-aligned parties narrowly ahead on seat projections. Leadership stability questions for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and voter concerns over cost-of-living pressures have kept both major parties below 32 percent in most surveys, sustaining trader assessments that Labour holds a modest edge in the race to secure the most seats or assemble a viable coalition.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$59,817Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows a tight contest between the incumbent National-led coalition and the Labour opposition under MMP rules, where minor parties such as ACT, New Zealand First, the Greens, Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunities Party can determine government formation. A September Taxpayers’ Union–Curia survey projected the right bloc at 64 seats while other late-August and early-September polls from Roy Morgan and Reid Research placed Labour-aligned parties narrowly ahead on seat projections. Leadership stability questions for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and voter concerns over cost-of-living pressures have kept both major parties below 32 percent in most surveys, sustaining trader assessments that Labour holds a modest edge in the race to secure the most seats or assemble a viable coalition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
37%
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
61%
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