Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid fragmentation of centrist and center-right support. Newer lists such as Yashar, Together, and the Reservists party have drawn voters, while undecided respondents hover near 11% and turnout intentions vary by bloc. This leaves the party's projected share tightly contested between sub-threshold and low-single-digit outcomes, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over whether consolidation, alliances, or late shifts in security-focused or Zionist priorities could push it across the line before candidate lists close and voting begins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui2-3.25% 43%
1.25-2% 42%
3.25%+ 39%
0.75-1.25% 39%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
36%
0.75-1.25%
39%
1.25-2%
42%
2-3.25%
43%
3.25%+
39%
2-3.25% 43%
1.25-2% 42%
3.25%+ 39%
0.75-1.25% 39%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
$0 Vol.
36%
0.75-1.25%
$0 Vol.
39%
1.25-2%
$0 Vol.
42%
2-3.25%
$0 Vol.
43%
3.25%+
$0 Vol.
39%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid fragmentation of centrist and center-right support. Newer lists such as Yashar, Together, and the Reservists party have drawn voters, while undecided respondents hover near 11% and turnout intentions vary by bloc. This leaves the party's projected share tightly contested between sub-threshold and low-single-digit outcomes, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over whether consolidation, alliances, or late shifts in security-focused or Zionist priorities could push it across the line before candidate lists close and voting begins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid fragmentation of centrist and center-right support. Newer lists such as Yashar, Together, and the Reservists party have drawn voters, while undecided respondents hover near 11% and turnout intentions vary by bloc. This leaves the party's projected share tightly contested between sub-threshold and low-single-digit outcomes, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over whether consolidation, alliances, or late shifts in security-focused or Zionist priorities could push it across the line before candidate lists close and voting begins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently below or near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid fragmentation of centrist and center-right support. Newer lists such as Yashar, Together, and the Reservists party have drawn voters, while undecided respondents hover near 11% and turnout intentions vary by bloc. This leaves the party's projected share tightly contested between sub-threshold and low-single-digit outcomes, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over whether consolidation, alliances, or late shifts in security-focused or Zionist priorities could push it across the line before candidate lists close and voting begins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan