Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Benny Gantz's Blue and White/National Unity party receiving 0.4–1.3% support and failing to clear the electoral threshold in multiple surveys, including those from Lazar, Kantar, and Midgam. This reflects ongoing fragmentation of the centrist bloc after Gadi Eisenkot's departure to lead Yashar, which now polls at 22–25 seats, alongside competition from new or merging lists such as Hendel-Zelekha. Gantz has pursued merger talks and positioned the party for a broad Zionist coalition, yet undecided voters and shifting security priorities have kept its standalone support low. These trends align with trader consensus favoring sub-1% outcomes while leaving room for last-minute list changes or turnout shifts before the September 8 candidate submission deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui0.5-0.75% 26%
1-2% 26%
2%+ 26%
0.75-1% 25%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
43%
0.5-0.75%
26%
0.75-1%
25%
1-2%
26%
2%+
26%
0.5-0.75% 26%
1-2% 26%
2%+ 26%
0.75-1% 25%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
$60 Vol.
43%
0.5-0.75%
$0 Vol.
26%
0.75-1%
$0 Vol.
25%
1-2%
$0 Vol.
26%
2%+
$0 Vol.
26%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Benny Gantz's Blue and White/National Unity party receiving 0.4–1.3% support and failing to clear the electoral threshold in multiple surveys, including those from Lazar, Kantar, and Midgam. This reflects ongoing fragmentation of the centrist bloc after Gadi Eisenkot's departure to lead Yashar, which now polls at 22–25 seats, alongside competition from new or merging lists such as Hendel-Zelekha. Gantz has pursued merger talks and positioned the party for a broad Zionist coalition, yet undecided voters and shifting security priorities have kept its standalone support low. These trends align with trader consensus favoring sub-1% outcomes while leaving room for last-minute list changes or turnout shifts before the September 8 candidate submission deadline.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$60Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Benny Gantz's Blue and White/National Unity party receiving 0.4–1.3% support and failing to clear the electoral threshold in multiple surveys, including those from Lazar, Kantar, and Midgam. This reflects ongoing fragmentation of the centrist bloc after Gadi Eisenkot's departure to lead Yashar, which now polls at 22–25 seats, alongside competition from new or merging lists such as Hendel-Zelekha. Gantz has pursued merger talks and positioned the party for a broad Zionist coalition, yet undecided voters and shifting security priorities have kept its standalone support low. These trends align with trader consensus favoring sub-1% outcomes while leaving room for last-minute list changes or turnout shifts before the September 8 candidate submission deadline.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$60Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Benny Gantz's Blue and White/National Unity party receiving 0.4–1.3% support and failing to clear the electoral threshold in multiple surveys, including those from Lazar, Kantar, and Midgam. This reflects ongoing fragmentation of the centrist bloc after Gadi Eisenkot's departure to lead Yashar, which now polls at 22–25 seats, alongside competition from new or merging lists such as Hendel-Zelekha. Gantz has pursued merger talks and positioned the party for a broad Zionist coalition, yet undecided voters and shifting security priorities have kept its standalone support low. These trends align with trader consensus favoring sub-1% outcomes while leaving room for last-minute list changes or turnout shifts before the September 8 candidate submission deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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