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icon for Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?
Dunia·Israel

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

icon for Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?
Dunia·Israel

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

5.5-6.5% 34%

<4.5% 31%

4.5-5.5% 26%

7.5%+ 21%

Polymarket
BARU

5.5-6.5% 34%

<4.5% 31%

4.5-5.5% 26%

7.5%+ 21%

Polymarket
BARU

<4.5%

$13 Vol.

31%

4.5-5.5%

$13 Vol.

26%

5.5-6.5%

$78 Vol.

39%

6.5-7.5%

$114 Vol.

40%

7.5%+

$251 Vol.

21%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, in a range of roughly 6–9 seats, aligning with the market’s leading 6.5–7.5% band. This positioning reflects steady support among religious and right-wing voters following the September 9 party-list deadline, amid surplus-vote agreements and competition from Religious Zionism for overlapping constituencies. Recent surveys from outlets including Midgam, Kantar, and Lazar show limited movement for the party, with no major scandals or shifts in turnout expectations altering its trajectory in the final weeks. Traders appear to weigh these polling averages and the party’s independent slate against structural factors like the 3.25% threshold and bloc dynamics.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$469
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.bechirot.gov.il/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, in a range of roughly 6–9 seats, aligning with the market’s leading 6.5–7.5% band. This positioning reflects steady support among religious and right-wing voters following the September 9 party-list deadline, amid surplus-vote agreements and competition from Religious Zionism for overlapping constituencies. Recent surveys from outlets including Midgam, Kantar, and Lazar show limited movement for the party, with no major scandals or shifts in turnout expectations altering its trajectory in the final weeks. Traders appear to weigh these polling averages and the party’s independent slate against structural factors like the 3.25% threshold and bloc dynamics.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$469
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.bechirot.gov.il/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "6.5-7.5%" di 40%, diikuti oleh "5.5-6.5%" di 39%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 40¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 8, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?" adalah "6.5-7.5%" di 40%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "5.5-6.5%" di 39%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.