Skip to main content
icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 24%

Josh O'Connor 22.6%

No Bond chosen 18.5%

Michael B Jordan 18.4%

Polymarket

$18,270 Vol.

Callum Turner 24%

Josh O'Connor 22.6%

No Bond chosen 18.5%

Michael B Jordan 18.4%

Polymarket

$18,270 Vol.

Callum Turner

$2,246 Vol.

28%

Josh O'Connor

$1,944 Vol.

23%

No Bond chosen

$5,668 Vol.

19%

Michael B Jordan

$404 Vol.

18%

James Norton

$400 Vol.

14%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$2,691 Vol.

12%

Jacob Elordi

$836 Vol.

12%

Paul Mescal

$645 Vol.

15%

Tom Holland

$684 Vol.

3%

Henry Cavill

$279 Vol.

1%

Harris Dickinson

$376 Vol.

1%

Tom Hardy

$325 Vol.

7%

Timothee Chalamet

$380 Vol.

16%

Pierce Brosnan

$351 Vol.

9%

Jack Lowdon

$347 Vol.

30%

Robert James-Collier

$303 Vol.

36%

Theo James

$391 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders see a wide-open field for the next James Bond because Eon Productions has yet to announce a successor to Daniel Craig, leaving casting speculation driven by fan betting and suitability assessments rather than confirmed reports. Robert James-Collier leads at 36.2% implied probability thanks to his established British screen persona from Downton Abbey and recent visibility, closely trailed by Jack Lowdon, Theo James, and Callum Turner—all fitting the classic profile of charismatic UK actors in their thirties with rising profiles in prestige TV and film. The tight clustering among the top four reflects similar momentum from social buzz and historical precedent for Bond selections, while lower odds on stars like Michael B. Jordan or Timothée Chalamet highlight stronger consensus around traditional casting criteria. Key upcoming catalysts include any official statements or casting calls that could consolidate support ahead of Bond 26 development.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,270
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders see a wide-open field for the next James Bond because Eon Productions has yet to announce a successor to Daniel Craig, leaving casting speculation driven by fan betting and suitability assessments rather than confirmed reports. Robert James-Collier leads at 36.2% implied probability thanks to his established British screen persona from Downton Abbey and recent visibility, closely trailed by Jack Lowdon, Theo James, and Callum Turner—all fitting the classic profile of charismatic UK actors in their thirties with rising profiles in prestige TV and film. The tight clustering among the top four reflects similar momentum from social buzz and historical precedent for Bond selections, while lower odds on stars like Michael B. Jordan or Timothée Chalamet highlight stronger consensus around traditional casting criteria. Key upcoming catalysts include any official statements or casting calls that could consolidate support ahead of Bond 26 development.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,270
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

icon for Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?

Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?

17%
icon for Apakah Kamala Harris akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum tahun 2027?

Apakah Kamala Harris akan mengumumkan pencalonan Presiden sebelum tahun 2027?

11%
Ya
icon for Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

25%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next James Bond actor?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Robert James-Collier" di 36%, diikuti oleh "Jack Lowdon" di 30%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 36¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 36% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next James Bond actor?" telah menghasilkan $18.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 18, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next James Bond actor?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next James Bond actor?" adalah "Robert James-Collier" di 36%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 36% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jack Lowdon" di 30%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next James Bond actor?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.