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Aktor James Bond berikutnya?

Market icon

Aktor James Bond berikutnya?

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 66%

Callum Turner 19%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.7%

Jacob Elordi 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,818,959 Vol.

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 66%

Callum Turner 19%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.7%

Jacob Elordi 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,818,959 Vol.

Tidak ada yang diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih

$250,555 Vol.

66%

Callum Turner diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Callum Turner

$122,101 Vol.

19%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$98,802 Vol.

6%

Jacob Elordi diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Jacob Elordi

$235,972 Vol.

3%

Henry Cavill diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Henry Cavill

$251,179 Vol.

2%

Theo James diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Theo James

$26,961 Vol.

1%

Tom Hardy diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Tom Hardy

$75,982 Vol.

1%

James Norton diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

James Norton

$110,802 Vol.

<1%

Paul Mescal diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Paul Mescal

$100,996 Vol.

<1%

Josh O'Connor diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Josh O'Connor

$31,737 Vol.

<1%

Jack Lowdon diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Jack Lowdon

$83,236 Vol.

<1%

Harris Dickinson diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Harris Dickinson

$148,477 Vol.

<1%

Pierce Brosnan diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Pierce Brosnan

$180,265 Vol.

<1%

Tom Holland diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Tom Holland

$70,514 Vol.

<1%

James Collier diumumkan sebagai James Bond berikutnya? icon

Robert James-Collier

$31,379 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 65.5% implied probability to no James Bond actor being chosen soon, propelled by Amazon MGM Studios head Courtenay Valenti's CinemaCon remarks on April 15 urging patience: "Don’t get too excited... we’re taking the time to do this with care." This reflects ongoing script refinement by Steven Knight and Denis Villeneuve's direction, with insiders dismissing current casting rumors as premature until screen tests. Callum Turner leads challengers at 19% amid sustained buzz from his February Berlinale non-denial and rising profile in prestige films, edging Aaron Taylor-Johnson (5.6%), whose prior frontrunner status has faded without confirmation. High uncertainty persists ahead of potential late-2026 filming and a 2028 release.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,818,959
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 65.5% implied probability to no James Bond actor being chosen soon, propelled by Amazon MGM Studios head Courtenay Valenti's CinemaCon remarks on April 15 urging patience: "Don’t get too excited... we’re taking the time to do this with care." This reflects ongoing script refinement by Steven Knight and Denis Villeneuve's direction, with insiders dismissing current casting rumors as premature until screen tests. Callum Turner leads challengers at 19% amid sustained buzz from his February Berlinale non-denial and rising profile in prestige films, edging Aaron Taylor-Johnson (5.6%), whose prior frontrunner status has faded without confirmation. High uncertainty persists ahead of potential late-2026 filming and a 2028 release.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,818,959
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 15 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Belum ada Bond yang dipilih" di 66%, diikuti oleh "Callum Turner" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 66¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 66% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" telah menghasilkan $1.8 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 4, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?," jelajahi 15 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" adalah "Belum ada Bond yang dipilih" di 66%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 66% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Callum Turner" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.