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icon for Aktor James Bond berikutnya?

Aktor James Bond berikutnya?

icon for Aktor James Bond berikutnya?

Aktor James Bond berikutnya?

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 90%

Callum Turner 3.0%

Harris Dickinson 2.1%

Jacob Elordi 1.8%

Polymarket

$2,968,103 Vol.

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 90%

Callum Turner 3.0%

Harris Dickinson 2.1%

Jacob Elordi 1.8%

Polymarket

$2,968,103 Vol.

icon for Belum ada Bond yang dipilih

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih

$295,658 Vol.

90%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$156,786 Vol.

3%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$218,217 Vol.

2%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$283,928 Vol.

2%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$156,141 Vol.

2%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$266,716 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$450,869 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$53,489 Vol.

1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$249,314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$127,121 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$178,343 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$256,033 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$150,279 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$61,726 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$63,483 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The casting search for the next James Bond has only recently kicked off officially, with Amazon MGM Studios confirming auditions underway and veteran casting director Nina Gold leading the effort for a potential fresh or lesser-known face under Denis Villeneuve’s direction. This timeline explains why the market assigns an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability to no actor being announced by the June 30 resolution date, as the process remains in its early stages with no frontrunner locked in. Speculation continues around British and international contenders such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, fueled by their recent high-profile roles and industry buzz, yet none have secured official confirmation or guild-level momentum. Traders appear to be pricing in the deliberate pace typical of major franchise recasts, where precursor signals like screen tests and producer meetings rarely translate to immediate public reveals. Upcoming catalysts include further casting updates or script milestones that could shift sentiment before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,968,103
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The casting search for the next James Bond has only recently kicked off officially, with Amazon MGM Studios confirming auditions underway and veteran casting director Nina Gold leading the effort for a potential fresh or lesser-known face under Denis Villeneuve’s direction. This timeline explains why the market assigns an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability to no actor being announced by the June 30 resolution date, as the process remains in its early stages with no frontrunner locked in. Speculation continues around British and international contenders such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson, fueled by their recent high-profile roles and industry buzz, yet none have secured official confirmation or guild-level momentum. Traders appear to be pricing in the deliberate pace typical of major franchise recasts, where precursor signals like screen tests and producer meetings rarely translate to immediate public reveals. Upcoming catalysts include further casting updates or script milestones that could shift sentiment before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,968,103
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 15 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Belum ada Bond yang dipilih" di 90%, diikuti oleh "Callum Turner" di 3%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 90¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 90% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" telah menghasilkan $3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 4, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?," jelajahi 15 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" adalah "Belum ada Bond yang dipilih" di 90%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 90% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Callum Turner" di 3%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Aktor James Bond berikutnya?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.