The wide-open distribution of implied probabilities across dozens of quarterbacks for the 2026 NFL Week 1 passing touchdowns leader reflects high single-game variance and evenly matched opportunities. Brock Purdy leads trader consensus at 24% amid the 49ers' favorable matchup and recent efficiency, while established starters like Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, and Jared Goff sit in the 5-7% range behind solid supporting casts. Multiple teams enter with altered quarterback rooms due to injuries—such as Tua Tagovailoa and Michael Penix Jr. ruled out for Atlanta—creating uncertainty in volume and red-zone usage. Schedule factors, defensive matchups, and early-season game scripts further compress edges, as any signal-caller can post a multi-touchdown outing in a neutral or favorable environment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBrock Purdy 24.0%
Joe Burrow 7%
Justin Herbert 7.0%
Jared Goff 6%
Brock Purdy
24%
Joe Burrow
7%
Justin Herbert
7%
Jared Goff
6%
Trevor Lawrence
5%
Dak Prescott
5%
Caleb Williams
5%
Jordan Love
5%
Baker Mayfield
5%
Josh Allen
3%
Geno Smith
3%
Lamar Jackson
3%
Deshaun Watson
3%
Aaron Rodgers
3%
C.J. Stroud
3%
Daniel Jones
3%
Cam Ward
3%
Bo Nix
3%
Patrick Mahomes
3%
Kirk Cousins
3%
Jalen Hurts
3%
Jaxson Dart
3%
Jayden Daniels
3%
Kyler Murray
3%
Bryce Young
3%
Tyler Shough
3%
Kyle Allen
3%
Malik Willis
3%
Kyle McCord
3%
Cade Klubnik
3%
Tyler Huntley
3%
Joe Flacco
3%
Shedeur Sanders
3%
Mason Rudolph
3%
Davis Mills
3%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
3%
Quinn Ewers
3%
Mitchell Trubisky
3%
Jarrett Stidham
3%
Justin Fields
3%
Fernando Mendoza
3%
Trey Lance
3%
Sam Howell
3%
Andy Dalton
3%
Jameis Winston
3%
Marcus Mariota
3%
Tyson Bagent
3%
Joshua Dobbs
3%
Tyrod Taylor
3%
J.J. McCarthy
3%
Tua Tagovailoa
3%
Michael Penix Jr.
3%
Kenny Pickett
3%
Spencer Rattler
3%
Jalon Daniels
3%
Jacoby Brissett
3%
Gardner Minshew II
3%
Stetson Bennett IV
3%
Drake Maye
1%
Drew Lock
1%
Tommy DeVito
<1%
Matthew Stafford
<1%
Mac Jones
<1%
Sam Darnold
<1%
Brock Purdy 24.0%
Joe Burrow 7%
Justin Herbert 7.0%
Jared Goff 6%
Brock Purdy
24%
Joe Burrow
7%
Justin Herbert
7%
Jared Goff
6%
Trevor Lawrence
5%
Dak Prescott
5%
Caleb Williams
5%
Jordan Love
5%
Baker Mayfield
5%
Josh Allen
3%
Geno Smith
3%
Lamar Jackson
3%
Deshaun Watson
3%
Aaron Rodgers
3%
C.J. Stroud
3%
Daniel Jones
3%
Cam Ward
3%
Bo Nix
3%
Patrick Mahomes
3%
Kirk Cousins
3%
Jalen Hurts
3%
Jaxson Dart
3%
Jayden Daniels
3%
Kyler Murray
3%
Bryce Young
3%
Tyler Shough
3%
Kyle Allen
3%
Malik Willis
3%
Kyle McCord
3%
Cade Klubnik
3%
Tyler Huntley
3%
Joe Flacco
3%
Shedeur Sanders
3%
Mason Rudolph
3%
Davis Mills
3%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
3%
Quinn Ewers
3%
Mitchell Trubisky
3%
Jarrett Stidham
3%
Justin Fields
3%
Fernando Mendoza
3%
Trey Lance
3%
Sam Howell
3%
Andy Dalton
3%
Jameis Winston
3%
Marcus Mariota
3%
Tyson Bagent
3%
Joshua Dobbs
3%
Tyrod Taylor
3%
J.J. McCarthy
3%
Tua Tagovailoa
3%
Michael Penix Jr.
3%
Kenny Pickett
3%
Spencer Rattler
3%
Jalon Daniels
3%
Jacoby Brissett
3%
Gardner Minshew II
3%
Stetson Bennett IV
3%
Drake Maye
1%
Drew Lock
1%
Tommy DeVito
<1%
Matthew Stafford
<1%
Mac Jones
<1%
Sam Darnold
<1%
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open distribution of implied probabilities across dozens of quarterbacks for the 2026 NFL Week 1 passing touchdowns leader reflects high single-game variance and evenly matched opportunities. Brock Purdy leads trader consensus at 24% amid the 49ers' favorable matchup and recent efficiency, while established starters like Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, and Jared Goff sit in the 5-7% range behind solid supporting casts. Multiple teams enter with altered quarterback rooms due to injuries—such as Tua Tagovailoa and Michael Penix Jr. ruled out for Atlanta—creating uncertainty in volume and red-zone usage. Schedule factors, defensive matchups, and early-season game scripts further compress edges, as any signal-caller can post a multi-touchdown outing in a neutral or favorable environment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan