Trader sentiment for the S&P 500's year-end 2026 close reflects balanced optimism around strong corporate earnings growth—particularly AI-driven gains—offset by elevated valuations and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions that could lift energy costs and inflation. Recent strategist polls place median targets near 7,600–7,800, with upgrades such as Goldman Sachs raising its forecast to 8,000 on revised EPS estimates, while downside scenarios center on potential multiple contraction if growth disappoints. This dispersion across the $7,000–$8,000+ bins underscores uncertainty ahead of key catalysts including upcoming inflation data, FOMC decisions, and earnings reports that could shift the market-implied rate path or risk appetite.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
>$8,000 24%
$7,000-$7,500 23%
$7,500-$8,000 21%
$6,500-$7,000 16%
$28,713 Vol.
$28,713 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
12%
$6,000-$6,500
7%
$6,500-$7,000
16%
$7,000-$7,500
23%
$7,500-$8,000
21%
>$8,000
24%
>$8,000 24%
$7,000-$7,500 23%
$7,500-$8,000 21%
$6,500-$7,000 16%
$28,713 Vol.
$28,713 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$16,283 Vol.
12%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,760 Vol.
7%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,987 Vol.
16%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,570 Vol.
23%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,968 Vol.
21%
>$8,000
$3,145 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment for the S&P 500's year-end 2026 close reflects balanced optimism around strong corporate earnings growth—particularly AI-driven gains—offset by elevated valuations and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions that could lift energy costs and inflation. Recent strategist polls place median targets near 7,600–7,800, with upgrades such as Goldman Sachs raising its forecast to 8,000 on revised EPS estimates, while downside scenarios center on potential multiple contraction if growth disappoints. This dispersion across the $7,000–$8,000+ bins underscores uncertainty ahead of key catalysts including upcoming inflation data, FOMC decisions, and earnings reports that could shift the market-implied rate path or risk appetite.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volume
$28,713Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment for the S&P 500's year-end 2026 close reflects balanced optimism around strong corporate earnings growth—particularly AI-driven gains—offset by elevated valuations and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions that could lift energy costs and inflation. Recent strategist polls place median targets near 7,600–7,800, with upgrades such as Goldman Sachs raising its forecast to 8,000 on revised EPS estimates, while downside scenarios center on potential multiple contraction if growth disappoints. This dispersion across the $7,000–$8,000+ bins underscores uncertainty ahead of key catalysts including upcoming inflation data, FOMC decisions, and earnings reports that could shift the market-implied rate path or risk appetite.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$28,713Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment for the S&P 500's year-end 2026 close reflects balanced optimism around strong corporate earnings growth—particularly AI-driven gains—offset by elevated valuations and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions that could lift energy costs and inflation. Recent strategist polls place median targets near 7,600–7,800, with upgrades such as Goldman Sachs raising its forecast to 8,000 on revised EPS estimates, while downside scenarios center on potential multiple contraction if growth disappoints. This dispersion across the $7,000–$8,000+ bins underscores uncertainty ahead of key catalysts including upcoming inflation data, FOMC decisions, and earnings reports that could shift the market-implied rate path or risk appetite.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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