Tesla shares closed at $391 on June 5 after a 6.56% single-day decline from the prior session near $418, establishing the primary driver behind the 56% market-implied probability for a weekly close below $395 in the week of June 8. This positioning reflects the stock’s recent trading range of roughly $389–$434 and absence of immediate positive catalysts such as major regulatory milestones or delivery data releases. Elevated 2026 capital expenditure guidance above prior targets, alongside ongoing focus on autonomy timelines and EV demand trends, continues to weigh on sentiment, while historical volatility around similar price levels suggests potential for intraday swings that could influence the final weekly settlement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui<$395 56%
$410-$415 13%
$430-$435 13%
$415-$420 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 12, 2026
<$395
56%
$395-$400
8%
$400-$405
9%
$405-$410
12%
$410-$415
13%
$415-$420
13%
$420-$425
11%
$425-$430
12%
$430-$435
13%
$435-$440
13%
>$440
13%
<$395 56%
$410-$415 13%
$430-$435 13%
$415-$420 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 12, 2026
<$395
$0 Vol.
56%
$395-$400
$0 Vol.
8%
$400-$405
$0 Vol.
9%
$405-$410
$0 Vol.
12%
$410-$415
$0 Vol.
13%
$415-$420
$0 Vol.
13%
$420-$425
$0 Vol.
11%
$425-$430
$0 Vol.
12%
$430-$435
$0 Vol.
13%
$435-$440
$0 Vol.
13%
>$440
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed at $391 on June 5 after a 6.56% single-day decline from the prior session near $418, establishing the primary driver behind the 56% market-implied probability for a weekly close below $395 in the week of June 8. This positioning reflects the stock’s recent trading range of roughly $389–$434 and absence of immediate positive catalysts such as major regulatory milestones or delivery data releases. Elevated 2026 capital expenditure guidance above prior targets, alongside ongoing focus on autonomy timelines and EV demand trends, continues to weigh on sentiment, while historical volatility around similar price levels suggests potential for intraday swings that could influence the final weekly settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 5, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 5, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed at $391 on June 5 after a 6.56% single-day decline from the prior session near $418, establishing the primary driver behind the 56% market-implied probability for a weekly close below $395 in the week of June 8. This positioning reflects the stock’s recent trading range of roughly $389–$434 and absence of immediate positive catalysts such as major regulatory milestones or delivery data releases. Elevated 2026 capital expenditure guidance above prior targets, alongside ongoing focus on autonomy timelines and EV demand trends, continues to weigh on sentiment, while historical volatility around similar price levels suggests potential for intraday swings that could influence the final weekly settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 5, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed at $391 on June 5 after a 6.56% single-day decline from the prior session near $418, establishing the primary driver behind the 56% market-implied probability for a weekly close below $395 in the week of June 8. This positioning reflects the stock’s recent trading range of roughly $389–$434 and absence of immediate positive catalysts such as major regulatory milestones or delivery data releases. Elevated 2026 capital expenditure guidance above prior targets, alongside ongoing focus on autonomy timelines and EV demand trends, continues to weigh on sentiment, while historical volatility around similar price levels suggests potential for intraday swings that could influence the final weekly settlement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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