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Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

icon for Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

1.2–1.5M 99.8%

2.4–2.7M <1%

<0.6M <1%

0.6–0.9M <1%

Polymarket

$169,060 Vol.

1.2–1.5M 99.8%

2.4–2.7M <1%

<0.6M <1%

0.6–0.9M <1%

Polymarket

$169,060 Vol.

<0.6M

$2,626 Vol.

No

0.6–0.9M

$55,400 Vol.

No

0.9–1.2M

$5,927 Vol.

No

1.2–1.5M

$47,737 Vol.

Yes

1.5–1.8M

$8,622 Vol.

No

1.8–2.1M

$9,696 Vol.

No

2.1–2.4M

$11,181 Vol.

No

2.4–2.7M

$11,700 Vol.

No

2.7M+

$16,171 Vol.

No

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The reported turnout in the May 26 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between Ken Paxton and John Cornyn fell squarely in the 1.2–1.5 million range, with more than 1.3 million total ballots cast and roughly 1.39 million votes tallied statewide. This outcome reflects the typical sharp drop in participation between a primary and runoff, compounded by the high-profile but localized contest drawing about 36 percent fewer Republican voters than the March primary. Trader consensus has consolidated around these official early and final counts from state sources because they leave little room for deviation once certified. Late adjustments to provisional or overseas ballots, or disputes during final canvassing, remain the only plausible paths that could shift the total outside the leading bracket.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$169,060
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The reported turnout in the May 26 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between Ken Paxton and John Cornyn fell squarely in the 1.2–1.5 million range, with more than 1.3 million total ballots cast and roughly 1.39 million votes tallied statewide. This outcome reflects the typical sharp drop in participation between a primary and runoff, compounded by the high-profile but localized contest drawing about 36 percent fewer Republican voters than the March primary. Trader consensus has consolidated around these official early and final counts from state sources because they leave little room for deviation once certified. Late adjustments to provisional or overseas ballots, or disputes during final canvassing, remain the only plausible paths that could shift the total outside the leading bracket.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$169,060
Tanggal Berakhir
May 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "1.2–1.5M" di 100%, diikuti oleh "<0.6M" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" telah menghasilkan $169.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" adalah "1.2–1.5M" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "<0.6M" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.