Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability due to its record-setting advance ticket sales, which exceeded $50 million domestically by early September with over 100 days until release, more than double the pace of prior MCU event films like Deadpool & Wolverine. The December 18 tentpole benefits from multiverse crossover hype, the return of the Russo brothers, and strong test screening buzz, positioning it to challenge or surpass Endgame’s domestic benchmark in a holiday corridor. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after delivering a franchise-record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July, yet its July timing leaves it vulnerable to a larger December debut. Negligible odds for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah reflect their more modest tracking and shared or competing release windows. Key upcoming catalysts include final presale spikes and holiday tracking updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$165,427 Vol.
$165,427 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$165,427 Vol.
$165,427 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$71,273 Vol.
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$61,218 Vol.
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability due to its record-setting advance ticket sales, which exceeded $50 million domestically by early September with over 100 days until release, more than double the pace of prior MCU event films like Deadpool & Wolverine. The December 18 tentpole benefits from multiverse crossover hype, the return of the Russo brothers, and strong test screening buzz, positioning it to challenge or surpass Endgame’s domestic benchmark in a holiday corridor. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after delivering a franchise-record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July, yet its July timing leaves it vulnerable to a larger December debut. Negligible odds for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah reflect their more modest tracking and shared or competing release windows. Key upcoming catalysts include final presale spikes and holiday tracking updates.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$165,427Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability due to its record-setting advance ticket sales, which exceeded $50 million domestically by early September with over 100 days until release, more than double the pace of prior MCU event films like Deadpool & Wolverine. The December 18 tentpole benefits from multiverse crossover hype, the return of the Russo brothers, and strong test screening buzz, positioning it to challenge or surpass Endgame’s domestic benchmark in a holiday corridor. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after delivering a franchise-record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July, yet its July timing leaves it vulnerable to a larger December debut. Negligible odds for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah reflect their more modest tracking and shared or competing release windows. Key upcoming catalysts include final presale spikes and holiday tracking updates.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$165,427Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability due to its record-setting advance ticket sales, which exceeded $50 million domestically by early September with over 100 days until release, more than double the pace of prior MCU event films like Deadpool & Wolverine. The December 18 tentpole benefits from multiverse crossover hype, the return of the Russo brothers, and strong test screening buzz, positioning it to challenge or surpass Endgame’s domestic benchmark in a holiday corridor. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after delivering a franchise-record $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July, yet its July timing leaves it vulnerable to a larger December debut. Negligible odds for The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah reflect their more modest tracking and shared or competing release windows. Key upcoming catalysts include final presale spikes and holiday tracking updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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