Skip to main content
icon for ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Matthew Dunlap 100.0%

Jared Golden <1%

Joe Baldacci <1%

Paige Loud <1%

Polymarket

$29,450 Vol.

Matthew Dunlap 100.0%

Jared Golden <1%

Joe Baldacci <1%

Paige Loud <1%

Polymarket

$29,450 Vol.

Jared Golden

$3,388 Vol.

No

Joe Baldacci

$10,553 Vol.

No

Paige Loud

$2,543 Vol.

No

Matthew Dunlap

$6,868 Vol.

Yes

Jordan Wood

$6,098 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maine's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on June 9 featured a tight three-way contest among state Sen. Joe Baldacci, state Auditor Matthew Dunlap, and former congressional staffer Jordan Wood to succeed retiring Rep. Jared Golden, with social worker Paige Loud trailing and conceding. No candidate secured a first-round majority, sending the race to ranked-choice voting tabulation that will redistribute preferences among the top contenders. The narrow vote margins—roughly 2,000 separating the leaders—have sustained competitive implied probabilities in the market, as traders assess second- and third-choice alignments across the large, rural district. Upcoming final RCV results and any late endorsements or regional turnout patterns could shift support among the remaining candidates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,450
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maine's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on June 9 featured a tight three-way contest among state Sen. Joe Baldacci, state Auditor Matthew Dunlap, and former congressional staffer Jordan Wood to succeed retiring Rep. Jared Golden, with social worker Paige Loud trailing and conceding. No candidate secured a first-round majority, sending the race to ranked-choice voting tabulation that will redistribute preferences among the top contenders. The narrow vote margins—roughly 2,000 separating the leaders—have sustained competitive implied probabilities in the market, as traders assess second- and third-choice alignments across the large, rural district. Upcoming final RCV results and any late endorsements or regional turnout patterns could shift support among the remaining candidates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,450
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

Terkait

icon for Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?

Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?

87%
icon for Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

97%
icon for Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?

Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?

97%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Matthew Dunlap" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Jared Golden" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $29.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Matthew Dunlap" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jared Golden" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.