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icon for Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

icon for Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

95% peluang
Polymarket

$420,839 Vol.

95% peluang
Polymarket

$420,839 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected to debut as the premium “iPhone Ultra” with a book-style design, 5.5-inch cover display, and roughly 7.8-inch inner foldable OLED panel, is on track for announcement at the September 9, 2026 event alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. Supply-chain reports confirm mass production has advanced past key validation stages for the hinge and display, with output targets raised toward 10 million units and iOS 27 already incorporating fold-detection and multitasking features. This positions volume shipments for fall 2026, driving the strong market consensus. Lingering risks include last-minute hinge durability issues or component shortages that could push initial availability into early 2027, though recent updates from Bloomberg and analysts indicate those hurdles have largely been cleared.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$420,839
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected to debut as the premium “iPhone Ultra” with a book-style design, 5.5-inch cover display, and roughly 7.8-inch inner foldable OLED panel, is on track for announcement at the September 9, 2026 event alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. Supply-chain reports confirm mass production has advanced past key validation stages for the hinge and display, with output targets raised toward 10 million units and iOS 27 already incorporating fold-detection and multitasking features. This positions volume shipments for fall 2026, driving the strong market consensus. Lingering risks include last-minute hinge durability issues or component shortages that could push initial availability into early 2027, though recent updates from Bloomberg and analysts indicate those hurdles have largely been cleared.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$420,839
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 95% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 95¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 95% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $420.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 12, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?" adalah 95% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 95% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.