Apple’s established September launch cadence and the company’s September 9, 2026 event announcing iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable models have anchored trader consensus near certainty for a 2026 release of the iPhone 18 series. Supply-chain reports, consistent historical timing after Labor Day, and official event confirmation reinforce this view, with traders treating the Pro lineup as satisfying the market criteria. While the base iPhone 18 and related models face reported delays into spring 2027 due to expanded lineup segmentation and manufacturing priorities, such shifts do not alter the 2026 outcome for the flagship series. Potential last-minute disruptions remain limited to extreme supply issues or regulatory actions unlikely to halt the already underway rollout.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui>99% peluang
$251,958 Vol.
$251,958 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
>99% peluang
$251,958 Vol.
$251,958 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s established September launch cadence and the company’s September 9, 2026 event announcing iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable models have anchored trader consensus near certainty for a 2026 release of the iPhone 18 series. Supply-chain reports, consistent historical timing after Labor Day, and official event confirmation reinforce this view, with traders treating the Pro lineup as satisfying the market criteria. While the base iPhone 18 and related models face reported delays into spring 2027 due to expanded lineup segmentation and manufacturing priorities, such shifts do not alter the 2026 outcome for the flagship series. Potential last-minute disruptions remain limited to extreme supply issues or regulatory actions unlikely to halt the already underway rollout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$251,958Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s established September launch cadence and the company’s September 9, 2026 event announcing iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable models have anchored trader consensus near certainty for a 2026 release of the iPhone 18 series. Supply-chain reports, consistent historical timing after Labor Day, and official event confirmation reinforce this view, with traders treating the Pro lineup as satisfying the market criteria. While the base iPhone 18 and related models face reported delays into spring 2027 due to expanded lineup segmentation and manufacturing priorities, such shifts do not alter the 2026 outcome for the flagship series. Potential last-minute disruptions remain limited to extreme supply issues or regulatory actions unlikely to halt the already underway rollout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$251,958Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s established September launch cadence and the company’s September 9, 2026 event announcing iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable models have anchored trader consensus near certainty for a 2026 release of the iPhone 18 series. Supply-chain reports, consistent historical timing after Labor Day, and official event confirmation reinforce this view, with traders treating the Pro lineup as satisfying the market criteria. While the base iPhone 18 and related models face reported delays into spring 2027 due to expanded lineup segmentation and manufacturing priorities, such shifts do not alter the 2026 outcome for the flagship series. Potential last-minute disruptions remain limited to extreme supply issues or regulatory actions unlikely to halt the already underway rollout.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan