Apple’s consistent annual flagship smartphone cadence, backed by supply chain reports and analyst confirmations of a September 2026 event, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. Recent coverage highlights the A20-series chips, variable-aperture cameras, and first foldable model (sometimes called iPhone Ultra) slated for the premium iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants alongside iOS 27 enhancements. While some base models may shift to early 2027 under a split-launch strategy, the core 2026 timeline remains on track with no reported production halts. Traders assign low probability to outright cancellation, though realistic risks include last-minute delays from manufacturing complexity around the foldable form factor or unforeseen regulatory reviews in major markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$116,457 Vol.
$116,457 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$116,457 Vol.
$116,457 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s consistent annual flagship smartphone cadence, backed by supply chain reports and analyst confirmations of a September 2026 event, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. Recent coverage highlights the A20-series chips, variable-aperture cameras, and first foldable model (sometimes called iPhone Ultra) slated for the premium iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants alongside iOS 27 enhancements. While some base models may shift to early 2027 under a split-launch strategy, the core 2026 timeline remains on track with no reported production halts. Traders assign low probability to outright cancellation, though realistic risks include last-minute delays from manufacturing complexity around the foldable form factor or unforeseen regulatory reviews in major markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$116,457Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s consistent annual flagship smartphone cadence, backed by supply chain reports and analyst confirmations of a September 2026 event, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. Recent coverage highlights the A20-series chips, variable-aperture cameras, and first foldable model (sometimes called iPhone Ultra) slated for the premium iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants alongside iOS 27 enhancements. While some base models may shift to early 2027 under a split-launch strategy, the core 2026 timeline remains on track with no reported production halts. Traders assign low probability to outright cancellation, though realistic risks include last-minute delays from manufacturing complexity around the foldable form factor or unforeseen regulatory reviews in major markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$116,457Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s consistent annual flagship smartphone cadence, backed by supply chain reports and analyst confirmations of a September 2026 event, drives the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release this year. Recent coverage highlights the A20-series chips, variable-aperture cameras, and first foldable model (sometimes called iPhone Ultra) slated for the premium iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants alongside iOS 27 enhancements. While some base models may shift to early 2027 under a split-launch strategy, the core 2026 timeline remains on track with no reported production halts. Traders assign low probability to outright cancellation, though realistic risks include last-minute delays from manufacturing complexity around the foldable form factor or unforeseen regulatory reviews in major markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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