Anthropic’s explosive revenue trajectory and planned $2 trillion IPO valuation anchor trader consensus at 56.3% implied probability for the year’s largest debut by market cap. The AI developer’s annualized run-rate climbed from $47 billion in May to $65 billion by July 2026, with internal targets exceeding $110 billion by year-end, supporting banker discussions of a $100 billion raise and a November listing after the confidential S-1 filing. SpaceX’s June 2026 IPO at $1.77 trillion—still the record—accounts for its 39.0% odds, though lock-up releases and post-listing trading near $2 trillion have tempered momentum. xAI’s 25.5% reflects merger integration into SpaceX rather than a standalone event. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic’s expected late-September prospectus release, third-quarter results, and potential Nvidia anchor participation, which could widen the valuation gap versus prior-year benchmarks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIPO terbesar berdasarkan kapitalisasi pasar pada tahun 2026?
Anthropic 56.3%
SpaceX 39%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$6,077,352 Vol.
$6,077,352 Vol.

Anthropic
56%

SpaceX
39%

OpenAI
1%

ByteDance
<1%

Stripe
<1%

Databricks
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

Waymo
<1%

Revolut
<1%

Discord
<1%

Perplexity AI
<1%

Kraken
<1%
Anthropic 56.3%
SpaceX 39%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$6,077,352 Vol.
$6,077,352 Vol.

Anthropic
56%

SpaceX
39%

OpenAI
1%

ByteDance
<1%

Stripe
<1%

Databricks
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

Waymo
<1%

Revolut
<1%

Discord
<1%

Perplexity AI
<1%

Kraken
<1%
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s explosive revenue trajectory and planned $2 trillion IPO valuation anchor trader consensus at 56.3% implied probability for the year’s largest debut by market cap. The AI developer’s annualized run-rate climbed from $47 billion in May to $65 billion by July 2026, with internal targets exceeding $110 billion by year-end, supporting banker discussions of a $100 billion raise and a November listing after the confidential S-1 filing. SpaceX’s June 2026 IPO at $1.77 trillion—still the record—accounts for its 39.0% odds, though lock-up releases and post-listing trading near $2 trillion have tempered momentum. xAI’s 25.5% reflects merger integration into SpaceX rather than a standalone event. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic’s expected late-September prospectus release, third-quarter results, and potential Nvidia anchor participation, which could widen the valuation gap versus prior-year benchmarks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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