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Teknologi·Big Tech

IPO OpenAI Menutup Kapitalisasi Pasar

Market icon
Teknologi·Big Tech

IPO OpenAI Menutup Kapitalisasi Pasar

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2027

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2027

Tidak IPO sebelum 31 Desember 2026 63%

1,25T–1,5T 6.9%

1,5T+ 6.5%

750M–1T 5.7%

Polymarket

$1,581,335 Vol.

Tidak IPO sebelum 31 Desember 2026 63%

1,25T–1,5T 6.9%

1,5T+ 6.5%

750M–1T 5.7%

Polymarket

$1,581,335 Vol.

<500M

$259,841 Vol.

5%

500–750M

$141,603 Vol.

4%

750M–1T

$135,258 Vol.

6%

1T–1,25T

$175,516 Vol.

4%

1,25T–1,5T

$489,812 Vol.

7%

1,5T+

$94,898 Vol.

7%

Tidak IPO sebelum 31 Desember 2026

$284,408 Vol.

63%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026 (62.5% implied probability), driven by recent reports of internal tensions where CFO Sarah Friar questioned CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 timeline amid massive compute spending—projected at $600 billion—and 2026 cash burn exceeding $19 billion against $25 billion revenue forecasts, with profitability potentially delayed until 2029. A record $122 billion funding round closed March 31 at an $852 billion valuation reduced public market urgency, while ongoing leadership churn, including key departures like Sora's creator, adds execution risk. No S-1 filing has materialized despite retail share allocation plans announced April 8, amid regulatory scrutiny of AI governance and OpenAI's nonprofit-to-for-profit restructuring. Valuation bins remain low (under 7%) due to uncertain market appetite for high-burn AI labs in a competitive landscape with Anthropic eyeing similar moves; watch for H2 filing catalysts.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,581,335
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026 (62.5% implied probability), driven by recent reports of internal tensions where CFO Sarah Friar questioned CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 timeline amid massive compute spending—projected at $600 billion—and 2026 cash burn exceeding $19 billion against $25 billion revenue forecasts, with profitability potentially delayed until 2029. A record $122 billion funding round closed March 31 at an $852 billion valuation reduced public market urgency, while ongoing leadership churn, including key departures like Sora's creator, adds execution risk. No S-1 filing has materialized despite retail share allocation plans announced April 8, amid regulatory scrutiny of AI governance and OpenAI's nonprofit-to-for-profit restructuring. Valuation bins remain low (under 7%) due to uncertain market appetite for high-burn AI labs in a competitive landscape with Anthropic eyeing similar moves; watch for H2 filing catalysts.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,581,335
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"IPO OpenAI Menutup Kapitalisasi Pasar" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tidak IPO sebelum 31 Desember 2026" di 63%, diikuti oleh "1,25T–1,5T" di 7%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 63¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 63% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "IPO OpenAI Menutup Kapitalisasi Pasar" telah menghasilkan $1.6 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 23, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "IPO OpenAI Menutup Kapitalisasi Pasar," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "IPO OpenAI Menutup Kapitalisasi Pasar" adalah "Tidak IPO sebelum 31 Desember 2026" di 63%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 63% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "1,25T–1,5T" di 7%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "IPO OpenAI Menutup Kapitalisasi Pasar" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.