OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and its March private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader expectations around the $1.0–1.5 trillion range, where combined Polymarket probabilities exceed 56 percent. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise comprising over 40 percent, supports premium multiples despite ongoing losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue. However, reports of a potential 2027 listing delay to secure a $1 trillion-plus debut, alongside intensifying competition from Anthropic and benchmark IPO precedents like SpaceX, introduce volatility in implied odds. Key catalysts ahead include any public S-1 details or revised funding rounds that could shift the market-implied path.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1.0T–$1.25T 31%
$1.25T–$1.5T 24.9%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
<$1T 10.2%
$12,456 Vol.
$12,456 Vol.
Jul 1, 2027
<$1T
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
31%
$1.25T–$1.5T
25%
$1.5T–$1.75T
3%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
8%
$2.25T–$2.5T
6%
$2.5T+
3%
$1.0T–$1.25T 31%
$1.25T–$1.5T 24.9%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
<$1T 10.2%
$12,456 Vol.
$12,456 Vol.
Jul 1, 2027
<$1T
$1,841 Vol.
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$1,623 Vol.
31%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$1,586 Vol.
25%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$849 Vol.
3%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$2,562 Vol.
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$1,083 Vol.
8%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$816 Vol.
6%
$2.5T+
$2,097 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and its March private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader expectations around the $1.0–1.5 trillion range, where combined Polymarket probabilities exceed 56 percent. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise comprising over 40 percent, supports premium multiples despite ongoing losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue. However, reports of a potential 2027 listing delay to secure a $1 trillion-plus debut, alongside intensifying competition from Anthropic and benchmark IPO precedents like SpaceX, introduce volatility in implied odds. Key catalysts ahead include any public S-1 details or revised funding rounds that could shift the market-implied path.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$12,456Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and its March private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader expectations around the $1.0–1.5 trillion range, where combined Polymarket probabilities exceed 56 percent. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise comprising over 40 percent, supports premium multiples despite ongoing losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue. However, reports of a potential 2027 listing delay to secure a $1 trillion-plus debut, alongside intensifying competition from Anthropic and benchmark IPO precedents like SpaceX, introduce volatility in implied odds. Key catalysts ahead include any public S-1 details or revised funding rounds that could shift the market-implied path.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,456Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and its March private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader expectations around the $1.0–1.5 trillion range, where combined Polymarket probabilities exceed 56 percent. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, with enterprise comprising over 40 percent, supports premium multiples despite ongoing losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue. However, reports of a potential 2027 listing delay to secure a $1 trillion-plus debut, alongside intensifying competition from Anthropic and benchmark IPO precedents like SpaceX, introduce volatility in implied odds. Key catalysts ahead include any public S-1 details or revised funding rounds that could shift the market-implied path.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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