OpenAI’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with a $2 billion monthly run rate in 2026 and enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent, underpins trader expectations for a substantial IPO premium that could push the closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. The company’s latest private valuation of $852 billion after its March 2026 funding round, combined with CEO emphasis on a minimum $1 trillion threshold and confidential SEC filing in June, positions the higher brackets as leading outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect sustained AI-sector demand and comparable tech-listing multiples, tempered by the 15 percent probability assigned to no IPO through 2027 amid potential timing shifts into the following year.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1.5T+ 40.8%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 15.1%
$109,003 Vol.
$109,003 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
2%
750B–1T
9%
1T–1.25T
18%
1.25T–1.5T
20%
1.5T+
41%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
15%
1.5T+ 40.8%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 15.1%
$109,003 Vol.
$109,003 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$8,152 Vol.
1%
500–750B
$9,991 Vol.
2%
750B–1T
$11,027 Vol.
9%
1T–1.25T
$15,213 Vol.
18%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,461 Vol.
20%
1.5T+
$29,789 Vol.
41%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$24,371 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with a $2 billion monthly run rate in 2026 and enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent, underpins trader expectations for a substantial IPO premium that could push the closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. The company’s latest private valuation of $852 billion after its March 2026 funding round, combined with CEO emphasis on a minimum $1 trillion threshold and confidential SEC filing in June, positions the higher brackets as leading outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect sustained AI-sector demand and comparable tech-listing multiples, tempered by the 15 percent probability assigned to no IPO through 2027 amid potential timing shifts into the following year.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$109,003Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with a $2 billion monthly run rate in 2026 and enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent, underpins trader expectations for a substantial IPO premium that could push the closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. The company’s latest private valuation of $852 billion after its March 2026 funding round, combined with CEO emphasis on a minimum $1 trillion threshold and confidential SEC filing in June, positions the higher brackets as leading outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect sustained AI-sector demand and comparable tech-listing multiples, tempered by the 15 percent probability assigned to no IPO through 2027 amid potential timing shifts into the following year.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$109,003Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with a $2 billion monthly run rate in 2026 and enterprise contributions exceeding 40 percent, underpins trader expectations for a substantial IPO premium that could push the closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. The company’s latest private valuation of $852 billion after its March 2026 funding round, combined with CEO emphasis on a minimum $1 trillion threshold and confidential SEC filing in June, positions the higher brackets as leading outcomes. Market-implied odds reflect sustained AI-sector demand and comparable tech-listing multiples, tempered by the 15 percent probability assigned to no IPO through 2027 amid potential timing shifts into the following year.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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