OpenAI’s $852 billion private valuation from its March 2026 funding round, paired with monthly revenue reaching roughly $2 billion and enterprise contributing over 40 percent, underpins the market-implied 41.3 percent odds on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion and combined 39.4 percent on the $1–1.5 trillion buckets. Trader consensus prices in substantial IPO premiums and continued scaling, even as the company remains unprofitable with high cash burn. The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and subsequent signals favoring a 2027 debut to target nearer $1 trillion have tempered near-term timing odds, while recent C-suite departures introduce governance uncertainty that could influence execution. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 updates and further revenue or margin disclosures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1.5T+ 41.3%
1T–1.25T 19.9%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13.2%
$113,962 Vol.
$113,962 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
9%
1T–1.25T
20%
1.25T–1.5T
20%
1.5T+
41%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
13%
1.5T+ 41.3%
1T–1.25T 19.9%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13.2%
$113,962 Vol.
$113,962 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$8,557 Vol.
1%
500–750B
$10,396 Vol.
1%
750B–1T
$11,919 Vol.
9%
1T–1.25T
$17,239 Vol.
20%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,866 Vol.
20%
1.5T+
$30,209 Vol.
41%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$24,776 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s $852 billion private valuation from its March 2026 funding round, paired with monthly revenue reaching roughly $2 billion and enterprise contributing over 40 percent, underpins the market-implied 41.3 percent odds on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion and combined 39.4 percent on the $1–1.5 trillion buckets. Trader consensus prices in substantial IPO premiums and continued scaling, even as the company remains unprofitable with high cash burn. The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and subsequent signals favoring a 2027 debut to target nearer $1 trillion have tempered near-term timing odds, while recent C-suite departures introduce governance uncertainty that could influence execution. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 updates and further revenue or margin disclosures.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$113,962Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s $852 billion private valuation from its March 2026 funding round, paired with monthly revenue reaching roughly $2 billion and enterprise contributing over 40 percent, underpins the market-implied 41.3 percent odds on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion and combined 39.4 percent on the $1–1.5 trillion buckets. Trader consensus prices in substantial IPO premiums and continued scaling, even as the company remains unprofitable with high cash burn. The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and subsequent signals favoring a 2027 debut to target nearer $1 trillion have tempered near-term timing odds, while recent C-suite departures introduce governance uncertainty that could influence execution. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 updates and further revenue or margin disclosures.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$113,962Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s $852 billion private valuation from its March 2026 funding round, paired with monthly revenue reaching roughly $2 billion and enterprise contributing over 40 percent, underpins the market-implied 41.3 percent odds on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion and combined 39.4 percent on the $1–1.5 trillion buckets. Trader consensus prices in substantial IPO premiums and continued scaling, even as the company remains unprofitable with high cash burn. The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and subsequent signals favoring a 2027 debut to target nearer $1 trillion have tempered near-term timing odds, while recent C-suite departures introduce governance uncertainty that could influence execution. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 updates and further revenue or margin disclosures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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