Anthropic’s rapid revenue acceleration underpins the dispersed market-implied odds for its IPO closing market cap, with the $1.75–2.0 trillion bin leading at 26.5 percent. Annualized run-rate revenue reached $65 billion by end-July 2026, up from $47 billion in May and $9 billion at year-end 2025, driven by Claude API and enterprise adoption that delivered roughly $11.5 billion in Q2 revenue and the company’s first operating profit. The May Series H round set a $965 billion private valuation, while bankers have discussed a potential $2 trillion IPO target—surpassing SpaceX’s $1.77 trillion debut—amid secondary trading implying $1.2 trillion-plus levels. The confidential S-1 filed in June positions a post-Labor Day public filing and October Nasdaq listing as the primary near-term catalysts, with compute partnerships and the OpenAI valuation race adding further variables to trader consensus on final pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1.75–$2.0T 27%
$2.0–$2.25T 20.3%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$2.5–$2.75T 10.8%
$560,659 Vol.
$560,659 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
10%
$1.75–$2.0T
27%
$2.0–$2.25T
20%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.75–$2.0T 27%
$2.0–$2.25T 20.3%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$2.5–$2.75T 10.8%
$560,659 Vol.
$560,659 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
10%
$1.75–$2.0T
27%
$2.0–$2.25T
20%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue acceleration underpins the dispersed market-implied odds for its IPO closing market cap, with the $1.75–2.0 trillion bin leading at 26.5 percent. Annualized run-rate revenue reached $65 billion by end-July 2026, up from $47 billion in May and $9 billion at year-end 2025, driven by Claude API and enterprise adoption that delivered roughly $11.5 billion in Q2 revenue and the company’s first operating profit. The May Series H round set a $965 billion private valuation, while bankers have discussed a potential $2 trillion IPO target—surpassing SpaceX’s $1.77 trillion debut—amid secondary trading implying $1.2 trillion-plus levels. The confidential S-1 filed in June positions a post-Labor Day public filing and October Nasdaq listing as the primary near-term catalysts, with compute partnerships and the OpenAI valuation race adding further variables to trader consensus on final pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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