Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion—reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026 from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025—has anchored trader expectations for a blockbuster IPO near or above $2 trillion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and banker discussions of a $100 billion-plus raise, potentially valuing it above SpaceX’s $1.77 trillion debut, have reinforced this outlook. Strong demand for its Claude large language models, particularly in coding and enterprise use, combined with a $965 billion private valuation from the May Series H round, supports the market-implied 85.5% odds on an 1.8T+ closing market cap. With a public filing expected imminently and an October listing targeted ahead of OpenAI, the low probabilities on delayed or smaller outcomes reflect broad consensus on continued AI momentum through 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 9.2%
1.2–1.5T 2.9%
<0.6T 1.2%
$364,255 Vol.
$364,255 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
3%
1.5–1.8T
9%
1.8T+
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
1.8T+ 86%
1.5–1.8T 9.2%
1.2–1.5T 2.9%
<0.6T 1.2%
$364,255 Vol.
$364,255 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
<0.6T
$19,502 Vol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$25,217 Vol.
1%
0.9–1.2T
$24,583 Vol.
1%
1.2–1.5T
$32,640 Vol.
3%
1.5–1.8T
$38,398 Vol.
9%
1.8T+
$175,971 Vol.
86%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$47,945 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion—reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026 from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025—has anchored trader expectations for a blockbuster IPO near or above $2 trillion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and banker discussions of a $100 billion-plus raise, potentially valuing it above SpaceX’s $1.77 trillion debut, have reinforced this outlook. Strong demand for its Claude large language models, particularly in coding and enterprise use, combined with a $965 billion private valuation from the May Series H round, supports the market-implied 85.5% odds on an 1.8T+ closing market cap. With a public filing expected imminently and an October listing targeted ahead of OpenAI, the low probabilities on delayed or smaller outcomes reflect broad consensus on continued AI momentum through 2026.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$364,255Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion—reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026 from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025—has anchored trader expectations for a blockbuster IPO near or above $2 trillion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and banker discussions of a $100 billion-plus raise, potentially valuing it above SpaceX’s $1.77 trillion debut, have reinforced this outlook. Strong demand for its Claude large language models, particularly in coding and enterprise use, combined with a $965 billion private valuation from the May Series H round, supports the market-implied 85.5% odds on an 1.8T+ closing market cap. With a public filing expected imminently and an October listing targeted ahead of OpenAI, the low probabilities on delayed or smaller outcomes reflect broad consensus on continued AI momentum through 2026.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$364,255Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion—reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026 from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025—has anchored trader expectations for a blockbuster IPO near or above $2 trillion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and banker discussions of a $100 billion-plus raise, potentially valuing it above SpaceX’s $1.77 trillion debut, have reinforced this outlook. Strong demand for its Claude large language models, particularly in coding and enterprise use, combined with a $965 billion private valuation from the May Series H round, supports the market-implied 85.5% odds on an 1.8T+ closing market cap. With a public filing expected imminently and an October listing targeted ahead of OpenAI, the low probabilities on delayed or smaller outcomes reflect broad consensus on continued AI momentum through 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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