Anthropic's latest Opus-tier flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched July 24, 2026, as a more affordable alternative to higher-tier Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models while matching or exceeding them on several coding, agentic, and knowledge-work benchmarks. The company has followed a pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 4.8 in May, 4.7 in April—alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI GPT variants and Google Gemini releases. No official announcement or confirmed timeline exists for the next Opus update, yet trader consensus on Polymarket places the release around September 23, 2026, with 76% implied probability by September 30. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conference reveals, enterprise feature rollouts, or benchmark updates that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$105,378 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
76%
October 31
99%
December 31
98%
$105,378 Vol.
September 30
$45,451 Vol.
76%
October 31
$13,267 Vol.
99%
December 31
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's latest Opus-tier flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched July 24, 2026, as a more affordable alternative to higher-tier Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models while matching or exceeding them on several coding, agentic, and knowledge-work benchmarks. The company has followed a pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 4.8 in May, 4.7 in April—alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI GPT variants and Google Gemini releases. No official announcement or confirmed timeline exists for the next Opus update, yet trader consensus on Polymarket places the release around September 23, 2026, with 76% implied probability by September 30. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conference reveals, enterprise feature rollouts, or benchmark updates that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$105,378Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's latest Opus-tier flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched July 24, 2026, as a more affordable alternative to higher-tier Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models while matching or exceeding them on several coding, agentic, and knowledge-work benchmarks. The company has followed a pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 4.8 in May, 4.7 in April—alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI GPT variants and Google Gemini releases. No official announcement or confirmed timeline exists for the next Opus update, yet trader consensus on Polymarket places the release around September 23, 2026, with 76% implied probability by September 30. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conference reveals, enterprise feature rollouts, or benchmark updates that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$105,378Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's latest Opus-tier flagship, Claude Opus 5, launched July 24, 2026, as a more affordable alternative to higher-tier Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models while matching or exceeding them on several coding, agentic, and knowledge-work benchmarks. The company has followed a pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 4.8 in May, 4.7 in April—alongside competitive pressure from OpenAI GPT variants and Google Gemini releases. No official announcement or confirmed timeline exists for the next Opus update, yet trader consensus on Polymarket places the release around September 23, 2026, with 76% implied probability by September 30. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conference reveals, enterprise feature rollouts, or benchmark updates that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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