Anthropic's aggressive cadence on its Opus flagship series, highlighted by the July 2026 launch of Claude Opus 5 with major gains on agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks at unchanged $5/$25 per million token pricing, continues to shape trader views on the next release. The model quickly positioned itself as a cost-effective alternative to higher-tier offerings like Fable 5 while outperforming on several evaluations. Recent September 1 releases of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscore ongoing internal progress and competitive pressure from peers like OpenAI. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around late September 2026, reflecting the historical pattern of Opus updates every 1-2 months and anticipation for further capability or efficiency improvements amid the broader large language model race.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$105,158 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
79%
October 31
99%
December 31
98%
$105,158 Vol.
September 30
$45,231 Vol.
79%
October 31
$13,267 Vol.
99%
December 31
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's aggressive cadence on its Opus flagship series, highlighted by the July 2026 launch of Claude Opus 5 with major gains on agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks at unchanged $5/$25 per million token pricing, continues to shape trader views on the next release. The model quickly positioned itself as a cost-effective alternative to higher-tier offerings like Fable 5 while outperforming on several evaluations. Recent September 1 releases of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscore ongoing internal progress and competitive pressure from peers like OpenAI. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around late September 2026, reflecting the historical pattern of Opus updates every 1-2 months and anticipation for further capability or efficiency improvements amid the broader large language model race.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$105,158Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's aggressive cadence on its Opus flagship series, highlighted by the July 2026 launch of Claude Opus 5 with major gains on agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks at unchanged $5/$25 per million token pricing, continues to shape trader views on the next release. The model quickly positioned itself as a cost-effective alternative to higher-tier offerings like Fable 5 while outperforming on several evaluations. Recent September 1 releases of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscore ongoing internal progress and competitive pressure from peers like OpenAI. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around late September 2026, reflecting the historical pattern of Opus updates every 1-2 months and anticipation for further capability or efficiency improvements amid the broader large language model race.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$105,158Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's aggressive cadence on its Opus flagship series, highlighted by the July 2026 launch of Claude Opus 5 with major gains on agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks at unchanged $5/$25 per million token pricing, continues to shape trader views on the next release. The model quickly positioned itself as a cost-effective alternative to higher-tier offerings like Fable 5 while outperforming on several evaluations. Recent September 1 releases of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscore ongoing internal progress and competitive pressure from peers like OpenAI. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around late September 2026, reflecting the historical pattern of Opus updates every 1-2 months and anticipation for further capability or efficiency improvements amid the broader large language model race.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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