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Teknologi·IPO

IPO OpenAI oleh...?

Market icon
Teknologi·IPO

IPO OpenAI oleh...?

$1,154,539 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,154,539 Vol.

Polymarket
Apakah OpenAI akan IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026? icon

30 Juni 2026

$231,685 Vol.

3%

Apakah OpenAI akan melakukan IPO sebelum 31 Desember 2026? icon

31 Desember 2026

$427,388 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's aggressive push toward a potential Q4 2026 initial public offering faces internal headwinds, as CFO Sarah Friar has warned that CEO Sam Altman's timeline is overly ambitious amid projected $121 billion in annual AI compute spending by 2028 and profitability not expected until 2029. Recent developments include a March $122 billion funding round valuing the company at $852 billion—bolstered by SoftBank's $40 billion loan—and plans to reserve IPO shares for retail investors, signaling broader access ambitions. However, Florida's Attorney General probe into ChatGPT, rising competition from Anthropic closing the revenue gap, and investor scrutiny over enterprise pivots have introduced uncertainty. Traders eye H2 2026 regulatory filings and earnings previews as key catalysts that could validate or delay the trillion-dollar listing path.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,154,539
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's aggressive push toward a potential Q4 2026 initial public offering faces internal headwinds, as CFO Sarah Friar has warned that CEO Sam Altman's timeline is overly ambitious amid projected $121 billion in annual AI compute spending by 2028 and profitability not expected until 2029. Recent developments include a March $122 billion funding round valuing the company at $852 billion—bolstered by SoftBank's $40 billion loan—and plans to reserve IPO shares for retail investors, signaling broader access ambitions. However, Florida's Attorney General probe into ChatGPT, rising competition from Anthropic closing the revenue gap, and investor scrutiny over enterprise pivots have introduced uncertainty. Traders eye H2 2026 regulatory filings and earnings previews as key catalysts that could validate or delay the trillion-dollar listing path.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,154,539
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"IPO OpenAI oleh...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "31 Desember 2026" di 36%, diikuti oleh "30 Juni 2026" di 3%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 36¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 36% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "IPO OpenAI oleh...?" telah menghasilkan $1.2 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 30, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "IPO OpenAI oleh...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "IPO OpenAI oleh...?" adalah "31 Desember 2026" di 36%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 36% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "30 Juni 2026" di 3%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "IPO OpenAI oleh...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.