Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations drive the 95% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June and plans to release a public prospectus after Labor Day, targeting a late September or early October Nasdaq debut at a potential $1.5–2 trillion valuation. This timeline aligns with strong revenue growth from its Claude large language models and recent funding rounds. OpenAI filed its own confidential S-1 shortly after but has shifted focus toward 2027, citing CEO Sam Altman's insistence on a $1 trillion floor amid market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include regulatory delays in SEC review, unexpected macroeconomic shifts affecting AI valuations, or internal restructuring needs for either firm. Traders view the current gap as reflecting concrete execution differences rather than speculation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic
95% peluang
$330,002 Vol.
$330,002 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
Anthropic
95% peluang
$330,002 Vol.
$330,002 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations drive the 95% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June and plans to release a public prospectus after Labor Day, targeting a late September or early October Nasdaq debut at a potential $1.5–2 trillion valuation. This timeline aligns with strong revenue growth from its Claude large language models and recent funding rounds. OpenAI filed its own confidential S-1 shortly after but has shifted focus toward 2027, citing CEO Sam Altman's insistence on a $1 trillion floor amid market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include regulatory delays in SEC review, unexpected macroeconomic shifts affecting AI valuations, or internal restructuring needs for either firm. Traders view the current gap as reflecting concrete execution differences rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$330,002Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations drive the 95% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June and plans to release a public prospectus after Labor Day, targeting a late September or early October Nasdaq debut at a potential $1.5–2 trillion valuation. This timeline aligns with strong revenue growth from its Claude large language models and recent funding rounds. OpenAI filed its own confidential S-1 shortly after but has shifted focus toward 2027, citing CEO Sam Altman's insistence on a $1 trillion floor amid market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include regulatory delays in SEC review, unexpected macroeconomic shifts affecting AI valuations, or internal restructuring needs for either firm. Traders view the current gap as reflecting concrete execution differences rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$330,002Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations drive the 95% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June and plans to release a public prospectus after Labor Day, targeting a late September or early October Nasdaq debut at a potential $1.5–2 trillion valuation. This timeline aligns with strong revenue growth from its Claude large language models and recent funding rounds. OpenAI filed its own confidential S-1 shortly after but has shifted focus toward 2027, citing CEO Sam Altman's insistence on a $1 trillion floor amid market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include regulatory delays in SEC review, unexpected macroeconomic shifts affecting AI valuations, or internal restructuring needs for either firm. Traders view the current gap as reflecting concrete execution differences rather than speculation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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