OpenAI’s GPT-5 series, first released in August 2025, has driven recent trader focus through iterative point releases and capability updates rather than entirely new frontier systems. The company delivered GPT-5.2 in December 2025, followed by GPT-5.3-Codex, GPT-5.4, and GPT-5.5 by April 2026, with a style and quality refresh to the 5.5 Instant variant on May 28. These enhancements integrate reasoning features previously associated with the o-series while retiring older models like o3. No major new flagship frontier model has launched since GPT-5, though internal work on GPT-6 continues amid competitive pressure from other labs. Key near-term catalysts include potential announcements tied to developer events or product roadmaps that could clarify whether a successor qualifies as a new frontier release by late 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$22,816 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
83%
September 30
97%
$22,816 Vol.
June 30
$6,336 Vol.
83%
September 30
$11,102 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-5 series, first released in August 2025, has driven recent trader focus through iterative point releases and capability updates rather than entirely new frontier systems. The company delivered GPT-5.2 in December 2025, followed by GPT-5.3-Codex, GPT-5.4, and GPT-5.5 by April 2026, with a style and quality refresh to the 5.5 Instant variant on May 28. These enhancements integrate reasoning features previously associated with the o-series while retiring older models like o3. No major new flagship frontier model has launched since GPT-5, though internal work on GPT-6 continues amid competitive pressure from other labs. Key near-term catalysts include potential announcements tied to developer events or product roadmaps that could clarify whether a successor qualifies as a new frontier release by late 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Volume
$22,816Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-5 series, first released in August 2025, has driven recent trader focus through iterative point releases and capability updates rather than entirely new frontier systems. The company delivered GPT-5.2 in December 2025, followed by GPT-5.3-Codex, GPT-5.4, and GPT-5.5 by April 2026, with a style and quality refresh to the 5.5 Instant variant on May 28. These enhancements integrate reasoning features previously associated with the o-series while retiring older models like o3. No major new flagship frontier model has launched since GPT-5, though internal work on GPT-6 continues amid competitive pressure from other labs. Key near-term catalysts include potential announcements tied to developer events or product roadmaps that could clarify whether a successor qualifies as a new frontier release by late 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$22,816Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s GPT-5 series, first released in August 2025, has driven recent trader focus through iterative point releases and capability updates rather than entirely new frontier systems. The company delivered GPT-5.2 in December 2025, followed by GPT-5.3-Codex, GPT-5.4, and GPT-5.5 by April 2026, with a style and quality refresh to the 5.5 Instant variant on May 28. These enhancements integrate reasoning features previously associated with the o-series while retiring older models like o3. No major new flagship frontier model has launched since GPT-5, though internal work on GPT-6 continues amid competitive pressure from other labs. Key near-term catalysts include potential announcements tied to developer events or product roadmaps that could clarify whether a successor qualifies as a new frontier release by late 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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