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icon for OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

icon for OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

71% peluang
Polymarket

$25,800 Vol.

71% peluang
Polymarket

$25,800 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, following its record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March, forms the core driver behind the 77.3% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion-plus valuation this year. The company reports roughly $25 billion in annualized revenue from ChatGPT and related large language models, backed by strategic capital from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank, plus ongoing releases such as GPT-5.4 that strengthen its competitive position. Traders view the planned 2026 listing—potentially as early as September—as the key catalyst that could push the valuation into the target range, though high cash burn and execution risks on infrastructure spending remain swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,800
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, following its record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March, forms the core driver behind the 77.3% market-implied probability of reaching $1 trillion-plus valuation this year. The company reports roughly $25 billion in annualized revenue from ChatGPT and related large language models, backed by strategic capital from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank, plus ongoing releases such as GPT-5.4 that strengthen its competitive position. Traders view the planned 2026 listing—potentially as early as September—as the key catalyst that could push the valuation into the target range, though high cash burn and execution risks on infrastructure spending remain swing factors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,800
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 71% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 71¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 71% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $25.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 29, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" adalah 71% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 71% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.